-
Analysis and prospect of DPRK nuclear issue based on “Strategic logic of nuclear proliferation” Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2024-02-26 Hanhyung Lee
The nuclear proliferation of the DPRK poses an existential threat to the ROK and Northeast Asia. Analyzing this situation using the framework of the “Strategic Logic of Nuclear Proliferation,” it b...
-
Carl von Clausewitz and Foucault on war and power Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2024-02-26 Damian Winczewski
Carl von Clausewitz's political theory of war was the source of many disagreements over readings of its most popular theses. Foucault viewed it as part of a broader political-legal discourse of sov...
-
Limited force and the fight for the just war tradition Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2024-02-26 Joseph A. Ledford
Published in Defense & Security Analysis (Ahead of Print, 2024)
-
Arms acquisition in the Baltic States and transfers to Ukraine: balancing national security Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2024-02-15 Donatas Palavenis
Three Baltic States (3Bs), like most eastern NATO countries, treat the war in Ukraine as a strong national interest: if Russia is stopped in Ukraine, it will not be capable of inflicting any harm t...
-
Darfur peacekeepers: the African Union peacekeeping mission in Darfur (AMIS) from the perspective of a Hungarian military advisor Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2024-02-12 Scott Woodruff Lyons
Published in Defense & Security Analysis (Ahead of Print, 2024)
-
The Polish Air Force in transition: lessons from the F-16 programme Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2024-02-12 Tadeusz Pieciukiewicz, Anna Brzozowska, Jędrzej Kowalczewski, Arkadiusz Kurkiewicz, Tomasz Miedziński, Dariusz Płóciennik, Krystian Zięć, Rafał Lipka
The purpose of this article is to analyse the process of equipping the Polish Air Force with the F-16 aircraft. The Polish F-16 programme serves as an essential source of knowledge for avoiding err...
-
Artificial intelligence and arms races in the Middle East: the evolution of technology and its implications for regional and international security Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2024-01-29 Jeremy Julian Sarkin, Saba Sotoudehfar
Artificial Intelligence is now deeply connected to weapons systems. It therefore plays a critical role in matters concerning international peace and security. AI has also seen military competition ...
-
How conventional arms control failures caused the Russo-Ukraine War Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2024-01-17 William E. Lippert
What role did conventional arms control (CAC) agreements failures play in Russia's decision to invade Ukraine? Using a process tracing and counterfactual mixed methodology analyzing Russia's invasi...
-
The Bushmen of Angola Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2024-01-17 John P. Cann
This is the story about the particular indigenous force of Bushmen known as flechas or “arrows” that was established by the Portuguese in Eastern Angola in 1966 in response to an intelligence gathe...
-
Understanding security force assistance: a matter of control? Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2024-01-08 Alies Jansen
This article seeks to explain the historically poor performance of the US Department of Defence’s security force assistance (SFA) to state and non-state armed forces to counter terrorism. The artic...
-
Military adaptation to combat mentoring: Belgium’s Operational Mentoring and Liaison Team experience Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2024-01-03 Ivor Wiltenburg, Vibeke Gootzen
This article investigates the Belgian Operational Mentoring and Liaison mission in Kunduz between 2009 and 2013 by applying military adaptation theory to the empirical data retrieved from interview...
-
Outsourcing national defense: an impediment to the US strategy of great power competition Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-12-20 Thomas Bruneau
My goals in this paper are to elaborate further an approach to civil-military relations going beyond control to include effectiveness; and, to argue that outsourcing by the Department of Defense (D...
-
In memoriam: Richard Bitzinger Scholar and Mentor Remembered Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-11-29 Zsolt Lazar
Published in Defense & Security Analysis (Vol. 39, No. 4, 2023)
-
Reinforcing deterrence: assessing NATO’s 2022 Strategic Concept Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-11-29 Zoltan Szenes
At the June 29, 2022, NATO summit in Madrid the heads of state and government adopted a new strategic concept for the alliance. The eighth strategic concept is the official long-term vision of NATO...
-
What’s in a name? Confucian considerations for referring to U.S. military contractors Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-11-29 Caroline Batka
Stakeholders use a number of different terms to refer to the contractors supporting expeditionary military operations. Often, these terms are inconsistently-applied, stigmatising, and unclear. This...
-
Using the concept of mission command in defence resources management – the case of Romania Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-11-29 Maria Constantinescu
Elements of mission command can be found in successful styles of leadership both in military and in business environments, as it is based on empowering subordinates or employees to make decisions, ...
-
Trusting machine intelligence: artificial intelligence and human-autonomy teaming in military operations Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-11-29 Michael Mayer
Continuous advances in artificial intelligence has enabled higher levels of autonomy in military systems. As the role of machine-intelligence expands, effective co-operation between humans and auto...
-
Military strategies of the new European allies. A comparative study. (Cass Military Studies) Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-11-29 Bohuslav Pernica
Published in Defense & Security Analysis (Vol. 39, No. 4, 2023)
-
Subversion – the strategic weaponization of narratives Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-11-29 Zsolt Lazar
Published in Defense & Security Analysis (Vol. 39, No. 4, 2023)
-
The importance of war stratagem: the case study of the 1973 war Mount Hermon battles Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-09-15 Haim Yogev, Ronen A. Cohen, Eyal Lewin
This research empirically examines the common assumption in scholarly literature that a military stratagem leads to an advantage on battlefields. It focuses on three different forms of stratagem: (...
-
Warfare under scrutiny: British public perspectives of soldiers, and tactical behaviours in operation HERRICK Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-09-07 Adam Shindler
The importance of civil society to the military is well documented in UK Defence and Army policy, doctrine, and concepts. Civilian and military analyses commonly focus on the policy dimensions of t...
-
Concluding remarks: Russian invasion - the dawn of a new world order without American hegemony? Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-09-03 Zdeněk Kříž
Published in Defense & Security Analysis (Vol. 39, No. 3, 2023)
-
Introduction Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-09-03 Zdeněk Kříž
Published in Defense & Security Analysis (Vol. 39, No. 3, 2023)
-
The client’s struggle to control private military companies effectively Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-08-17 Frank Daumann
Private military companies (PMC) offer combat and training services and can have considerable advantages for the client on the one hand, but on the other hand it is hard for the client to exercise ...
-
Outsourcing national defense: why and how private contractors are providing public services Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-08-16 Caroline Batka
Published in Defense & Security Analysis (Vol. 39, No. 4, 2023)
-
Responding to needs: military aid to Ukraine during the first year after the 2022 invasion Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-07-26 Nicholas Marsh
ABSTRACT The article analyses the provision of military aid to Ukraine during the first year after the 2022 Russian invasion and explains why it was more effective compared to other examples. It discusses the impact of material and intangible military assistance. The article examines tensions arising from principal-agent relationships between Ukraine and the states that provided support that may have
-
The Russian invasion and its failure in the first days Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-07-26 Richard Stojar
ABSTRACT In February 2022, Russia launched a large-scale military operation to take full control of the Ukrainian state. The invasion achieved virtually none of Russia's originally stated goals and instead of demonstrating Russian military power and effectiveness, it showed the exact opposite. Ambitious goals that were supposed to be achieved within a few days, turned out to be completely unrealistic
-
Ukraine’s third wave of military reform 2016–2022 – building a military able to defend Ukraine against the Russian invasion Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-06-04 Deborah Sanders
ABSTRACT This article explores an important and often overlooked element of Ukraine’s ability to defend itself against the Russian invasion in February 2022 – the adoption of a modified western transformational model of military reform – which has focused on mass and building a western style NATO interoperable and trained military. This article argues that Ukraine’s military reform since 2016, in particular
-
Islamic state’s online propaganda: a comparative analysis Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-05-22 Carl Gibson
Published in Defense & Security Analysis (Vol. 39, No. 2, 2023)
-
How Ukraine reveals Russian nuclear strategy Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-05-21 Stephen Blank
ABSTRACT If we examine the role played by nuclear weapons in Russia's war against Ukraine, we find that they play an offensive role in Russian strategy. The deterrence mission is as much intended to free Russia's hands for conventional war on its periphery as it is intended to prevent a nuclear first strike from the West. Indeed, the evidence of exercises etc. strongly points to a readiness for attacking
-
Cloaked disintegration – Ukraine war and European defence-industrial co-operation in Central and Eastern Europe Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-05-09 Martin Chovančík, Oldřich Krpec
ABSTRACT Progress made in European defence-industrial integration has been subjected to the hardest test with the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. The conflict has had profound implications for European defence industries across the board and spurred on massive investment into the sector. Based on extensive analysis of procurements, adopted policies, and shifts in discourse, we argue that the practical
-
Mugged by reality: Russia's strategic narratives and the war in Ukraine Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-05-05 Kateřina Fridrichová
ABSTRACT This article discusses the surprising lack of preparedness in Russian propaganda preceding the invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022. Despite previous successes in developing strategic narratives during the annexation of Crimea, Russia underestimated the need for unique communication strategies for the conflict in Ukraine. The article argues that Russia's miscalculation was due to the assumption
-
American Defense Reform: Lessons from Failure and Success in Navy History Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-04-24 Thomas C. Bruneau
Published in Defense & Security Analysis (Vol. 39, No. 2, 2023)
-
“No end of a lesson:” observations from the first high-intensity drone war Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-04-24 Marc R. DeVore
Published in Defense & Security Analysis (Vol. 39, No. 2, 2023)
-
The military and commercial development of brain–computer interfaces: international (in)security with brain-machine teaming Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-04-16 Bryan T. Stinchfield
ABSTRACT Brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) are an emerging dual-use technology that will affect international security in ways similar to other dual-use technologies such as artificial intelligence, autonomous weapons, and cyber tools and tactics. In this paper, I use open sources and network analyses to reveal the structure of the BCI research and development industry, which indicates that BCIs will
-
Targeted killings and the erosion of international norm against assassination Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-03-19 SeyedMilad KashefiPour Dezfuli
ABSTRACT In recent years State-sponsored assassination, reframed as “targeted killing” in the context of the war on terrorism, is undergoing a normalisation process due to the hybrid and asymmetrical threat of international terrorism. A more recent concern is the extension of the practice to the realm of inter-state relations, as exemplified by the assassination of the Iranian General Soleimani in
-
Drones in modern war: evolutionary, revolutionary, or both? Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-03-15 Sarah Kreps, Paul Lushenko
Published in Defense & Security Analysis (Vol. 39, No. 2, 2023)
-
Driving innovation in air power: the cold war’s four generations of fighter jets Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-03-08 Ilan Shklarsky, Eitan Shamir
ABSTRACT The aim of this article is to add an air power perspective to the innovation field, with emphasis on the development of jet fighters. Contemporary theory has not adequately addressed air power-related significant innovation, a shortcoming this article addresses. Using in-depth qualitive research methodology with eight diverse case-studies in the Cold War period, we show that innovation of
-
Out of Africa: the impact of drones in Sub-Saharan conflicts Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-03-05 Brendon J. Cannon
Published in Defense & Security Analysis (Vol. 39, No. 2, 2023)
-
Military drones, air defence, and the hider-finder competition in air warfare Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-03-05 Antonio Calcara, Ivan Zaccagnini, Mauro Gilli, Andrea Gilli
Published in Defense & Security Analysis (Vol. 39, No. 2, 2023)
-
The Second Drone Age: defining war in the 2020s Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-03-05 James Rogers
Published in Defense & Security Analysis (Vol. 39, No. 2, 2023)
-
Military technology and revolutions in warfare: priming the drone debate Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-03-05 Ash Rossiter
ABSTRACT The collection of essays in the special debate tackle the claim that drones deserve their acquired status as a revolutionary technology that has indelibly recast warfare. It is a debate embedded within a long-running and contentious, broader discussion about the role technology plays an independent variable affecting the character and perhaps the nature of war. How far can the introduction
-
Understanding Sweden’s security economy Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-03-02 Wayne Stephen Coetzee, Joakim Berndtsson
ABSTRACT This article aims to map out and analyse how Sweden’s security economy is shaped and sustained through security policies, political decisions, and personal connections amongst commercial and state elites. We treat the arms and security service industries as two sides of the same coin. In doing so, we address a shortcoming in the security literature that often analyses these two fields as separate
-
Assessing the security of Pakistan’s nuclear weapon programme Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-02-27 Tahir Mahmood Azad, Karl Dewey
ABSTRACT Although the broad outlines of Pakistan's nuclear weapons' programme are well documented, significant gaps remain in the understanding of the country's nuclear security regime. Nuclear security remains a highly politicised topic, with little robust information available regarding the steps taken to secure the country's nuclear assets. To help “fill the gaps”, this paper places official Pakistani
-
The Greek defence industry: from crisis to equilibrium Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-02-23 Spyridon Plakoudas
ABSTRACT Greece was never internationally renowned for its defence industry; in fact, its state-owned industries were usually a source of headaches rather than income for Athens. The Debt Crisis (2008-18) compounded the chronic ills of the Greek defence ecosystem which appeared to decline irreversibly. And yet, in recent years they rebounded and reached new heights. How can this surprising turnaround
-
Institutional counterinsurgency frameworks in the Lake Chad Basin: the case of the Multinational Joint Task Force against Boko Haram Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-01-29 Gershon Adela
ABSTRACT The Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF) is engaged in active combat operations against Boko Haram in the Lake Chad Basin, but the latter remains very resilient and continues to launch lethal attacks. Yet, scholarship has failed to examine the institutional circumstances that account for the lack of success by the MNJTF. This article explores the influence of the counterinsurgency frameworks
-
Threat/risk assessment tool to assess vulnerability of Polish cities to Russian attacks Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-01-12 Zbigniew Galar, Adam Sadowski
ABSTRACT Polish border guards can’t stop a few dozen fast-wheeled APCs and IFVs. If such a force would cross through any road at the eastern border of Poland, it would pass almost intact. Afterward, it would be an easy target, but only before it could hide in a dense urban area. Is eastern Poland prepared for such a surprise attack of under a hundred vehicles that could arrive in many city centres
-
The position of the special operations forces soldiers on the so-called global war on terrorism. A survey report Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2023-01-06 Marcin Lasoń
ABSTRACT Operations involving special operations forces are veiled in mystery, and public opinion is usually not well informed. The period of the last twenty years, beginning with the terrorist attacks of 09/11, has been no exception. But occasionally, official reports and the results of investigative journalism are published, very often criticising the actions of special operations forces soldiers
-
Defence procurement in perspective: what the history of the aircraft industry can tell us about UK defence procurement Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2022-12-27 Matthew Powell
ABSTRACT Defence procurement in the UK has drawn a large degree of political and academic attention due to large-scale projects regularly being delayed and costing significantly more than the original estimate. The focus on contemporary defence procurement, however, suffers from one major drawback: a lack of historical contexualistation. This article redresses this imbalance between the focus on contemporary
-
Identifying and planning military potential and national power: the case of the Israeli civilian-military planning units Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2022-12-16 Yoram Fried
ABSTRACT Research on the military potential/national power has focused on features such as numbers of soldiers, the military budget, population size, industrial production, technology, and others as underlying national power. The geopolitical situation of the State of Israel made the IDF General Staff the arbiter of any planning decision related to the development of the state economy, and responsible
-
Why the Turkish defense industry between 1919 and 1950 failed? Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2022-11-27 Uğur Ermiş, Günseli Gümüşel
ABSTRACT This study seeks to answer why Turkey could not reach its defense industry targets despite the efforts between 1919-1950. Defense industry was significant for the government's foreign policies and efficiency. The problems in defense industrial infrastructure and absence of a private industrial sector were significant reasons for falling of the empire. During Turkish Independence War and in
-
Asia-Pacific special edition – introduction Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2022-10-27 Zsolt Lazar, Kogila Balakrishnan
Published in Defense & Security Analysis (Vol. 38, No. 3, 2022)
-
South African defence decision-making: analysing dysfunctional approaches Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2022-10-10 Col (ret) Gerhard M. Louw, Abel Esterhuyse
ABSTRACT Defence planning in South Africa has gradually declined to the point of collapse; for reasons that are both complex and largely unexplained. While South Africa is not alone in this situation, the paucity of universal theories to explain the ineffectiveness of defence planning currently limits the theoretical validity of analyses that seek to address the phenomenon. Generating a substantive
-
Gunboat diplomacy à la Russe: Russia’s naval base in Sudan and its implications Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2022-09-19 Stephen Blank
ABSTRACT In 2020 Russia acquired a new naval base or logistic support centre off Sudan’s coast in Port Sudan. This base represents the culmination to date of Moscow’s quest for bases in and around the Mediterranean, Horn of Africa, and even the Indian Ocean. While the politics of obtaining and developing this base pertain largely to Moscow’s Africa policy; this paper focuses upon Russia’s overall naval
-
Information warfare: methods to counter disinformation Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2022-09-02 Andrew Dowse, Sascha Dov Bachmann
ABSTRACT The information age has transformed society by allowing people to interact digitally, yet it enables motivated actors to use mass influence to further their political objectives. The struggle against disinformation requires an appreciation of how a disinformation effect can be achieved in order to counter it. We consider the nature of disinformation and its use in the hybrid warfare domain
-
The challenges in buyer-supplier relationship for technological absorption capability in international defence acquisition: the case of Southeast Asia Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2022-08-29 Kogila Balakrishnan, Zsolt Lazar
ABSTRACT Transfer of technology (TOT) is a contentious issue in the international defence trade. In 2019 it was estimated to form at least 40%, or $123 billion USD, of total international defence trade. Whilst purchasing nations set requirements for TOT within their industrial participation (IP) policies, there is often a mismatch between the scale and type of technology suppliers can offer and the
-
Building military expeditionary culture: Spanish Army after international operations Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2022-08-26 Guillermo López-Rodríguez
ABSTRACT This article analyses the Spanish experience in military operations abroad, studying the functions it carried out in order to demonstrate how expeditionary experience has shaped military change processes. Using a database built from the Spanish Army’s online missions register, as well as from 23 personal interviews conducted with Spanish servicemen, this research focuses on how the Spanish
-
Imagining maritime conflict in the Indo-Pacific: can analogies substitute for strategy? Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2022-08-09 James J. Wirtz
ABSTRACT Historical analogies are sometimes used to imagine the scope and nature of a potential conflict in the Indo-Pacific. Using analogies, scenarios, and “images” of future war, instead of strategy, however, can produce an inadequate assessment of future material, operational, and tactical requirements that will be encountered by the U.S. Navy in the maritime domain. Without a long-term strategy
-
Evaluating civil-military relationship for effective procurement decision-making: the case of two fighter jet procurements of the Republic of Korea Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2022-06-21 Haneol Lee
ABSTRACT Overseas procurement aims not only to acquire the most high-end weapons systems, but also to enhance their technological expertise. However, the degree to which a procuring state succeeds in these dual objectives varies. Sometimes, a state acquires nearly the most advanced weapon systems in a timely manner with significant terms of technology transfer. At other times, a state’s procurement
-
The Philippine defence-development-disaster security paradigm Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2022-06-21 Ava Avila, Ron Matthews
ABSTRACT The Philippines suffers from three threats to its national security. Firstly, unlike advanced states, it faces both external and internal assaults on its political and territorial sovereignty. Secondly, self-sustaining economic security remains elusive, with the country failing to emulate the economic successes of its ASEAN neighbours, Singapore and Malaysia. Thirdly, the archipelago must