Journal of Political Economy, Volume 129, Issue 10, October 2021.

Journal of Political Economy, Volume 129, Issue 10, October 2021.

Journal of Political Economy, Volume 129, Issue 10, October 2021.

This study uses an ex-post evaluation of the grid-connected wind projects in Ontario, Canada, to quantify the stakeholder impacts of such renewable energy projects. Our study includes a financial, economic and stakeholder analysis of a sample of three wind farms. The analysis sheds light on the distributional impacts that arise when there is a significant gap between the incentives created by the financial

Most environmental decisions involve intertemporal trade-offs, in that they require foregoing immediate gratification for the sake of future environmental quality. One such example is investing in energy efficiency, which entails an initial upfront cost in exchange for a future stream of energy and economic savings. Our experiment explores the role of individual temporal preferences in the decision

Journal of Political Economy, Volume 129, Issue 10, Page 2993-2993, October 2021.

This study incorporates household energy needs into Foster–Greer–Thorbecke (FGT) based poverty measures to examine energy poverty in South Africa. Our household-specific energy poverty line is founded on the application of semiparametric estimation of energy expenditure shares that are used to determine a household energy equivalence scale and, thus, the household specific required energy consumption

Drawing on data from the seventh round of the Ghana Living Standard Survey (GLSS 7), we examine the effect of energy poverty on household health expenditures. Further, we analyse the mediating role of health insurance and remittances in the link between energy poverty and health expenditure. Employing a heteroscedastic double-hurdle estimation model, we find that energy poverty increases household

This paper investigates the effect of oil shocks on U.S. stock market volatility based on a new hybrid model that combines the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) with the Markov regime-switching model (MS-LASSO). Considering five oil shocks, the results show that the LASSO method containing Markov regime-switching improves forecasting accuracy from the statistical and economic

We study the effect of the US Affordable Care Act (ACA) on healthcare borrowing costs. The ACA provides insurance subsidies to low-income enrollees. States could accept funding to expand Medicaid, although many declined, citing the cost burden. The ACA significantly reduced healthcare yields after a favorable 2012 Supreme Court ruling. Furthermore, hospital investment spending increased, and investment-cash

In recent years, awareness of energy poverty has gained increasing attention in European countries. Comparative country studies can enhance our understanding of the causes and effects of this growing problem. This paper proposes a new model for the analysis of energy poverty. We define a theoretical framework and model to estimate an energy poverty frontier. The estimated frontier indicates the minimum

Energy Poverty in all climates and economies is recognised as problematic, whether related to insufficient warmth or inadequate cooling, making its definition and the identification of which households are most at risk of central importance. Different definitions of Energy Poverty identify not only varying numbers of households at risk, but households with different characteristics, and provide an

Australia’s National Electricity Market (NEM) is experiencing one of the world’s fastest and marked transitions toward variable renewable energy generation. This transformation poses challenges to system security and reliability and has triggered increased variability and uncertainty in electricity prices. By employing an exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (eGARCH)

It is generally assumed that oil price shocks have a significant impact on oil-rich countries. Motivated by this belief, we examine how disaggregated oil shocks affect bank risk in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member countries, specifically Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia (KSA), Oman, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and whether the effects of these shocks varied over the period from

Abstract This paper posits that distinguishing security token offerings (STOs) from initial coin offerings (ICOs) is important for the study of entrepreneurial finance. We first provide a working definition of a security token and present an overview of the STO market using a unique STO sample. The STO activity developed after the end of the ICO market bubble. The STO market is, however, still a nascent

The existential threat to small businesses, based on their crucial role in the economy, is behind the plethora of scholarly studies in 2020, the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. Examining the 15 contributions of the special issue on the “Economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on entrepreneurship and small businesses,” the paper comprises four parts: a systematic review of the literature on the

Using unique data, this paper examines investment banks’ choice of peers in comparable companies analysis in mergers and acquisitions. We find strong evidence that product market space is amongst the most important factors in peer selection, but Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) codes, particularly three- and four-digit codes, do a poor job of categorizing related firms in this setting. Banks

We study how non-financial multinational companies propagate economic declines from their subsidiaries located in countries experiencing an economic downturn to subsidiaries in countries not experiencing one. We find that investment is 18% lower in subsidiaries of these parents relative to the same-industry, same-country subsidiaries of parents that are headquartered in the same parent country but

A large literature in neuroscience and social psychology shows that humans are wired to be meticulous about how they are perceived by others. In this paper, we propose that impression management considerations can also end up guiding the content that investors transmit via word of mouth and inadvertently lead to the propagation of noise. We analyze server log data from one of the largest investment-related

The Bono Social de Electricidad (BSE) is a government programme, introduced in 2009, to reduce energy poverty in Spain. The BSE is a discount on the price of electricity, available to vulnerable households who applied. Applying differences-in-differences and propensity score matching to household data between 2008 and 2011, we find no statistically significant impact of the intention to treat on two

This research explores the causal relationships between the returns and volatility of oil prices and five clean energy stock indices based on the nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test between October 13, 2010 and September 08, 2020. The analysis is also conducted before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. The findings indicate that over the full and before the pandemic periods, oil returns cause

This article summarizes insights from the 36th Energy Modeling Forum study (EMF36) on the magnitude and distribution of economic adjustment costs of greenhouse gas emission reduction targets. Under the Paris Agreement, countries have committed to emission reduction targets – so-called Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) – in order to combat global warming. The study suggests that aligning NDCs

We present a theory of identity politics that builds on two ideas. First, when policy conflict renders a certain social divide—economic or cultural—salient, a voter identifies with her economic or cultural group. Second, the voter slants her beliefs towards the stereotype of the group she identifies with. We obtain three implications. First, voters’ beliefs are polarized along the distinctive features

We use stock exchange message data to quantify the negative aspect of high-frequency trading, known as “latency arbitrage.” The key difference between message data and widely familiar limit order book data is that message data contain attempts to trade or cancel that fail. This allows the researcher to observe both winners and losers in a race, whereas in limit order book data you cannot see the losers

We explore the optimal shape of the income tax and transfer schedule in an environment with distinct roles for public and private insurance. In a calibration to the United States, we find that the optimal system features marginal tax rates that increase in income. When we increase pressure on the government to raise revenue, the optimal marginal tax schedule becomes first flatter and then U-shaped

This paper explains the background to the notion of the ‘geography of discontent’ in the context of UK interregional inequalities and political shocks. The paper then examines how the geography of discontent has bound conflicting political and economic narratives together in ways, which makes the correcting for these regional imbalances all the more difficult, and results in ambiguity and a lack of

Using representative linked employer-employee data for Germany, this paper analyzes short- and long-run differences in labor market performance of workers joining start-ups instead of incumbent firms. Applying entropy balancing and following individuals over ten years, we find huge and long-lasting drawbacks from entering a start-up in terms of wages, yearly income, and (un)employment. These disadvantages

Firms in global markets often belong to business groups. We argue that this feature can have a profound influence on international asset pricing. In bad times, business groups may strategically reallocate risk across affiliated firms to protect core “central firms.” This strategic behavior induces co-movement among central firms, creating a new intertemporal risk factor. Based on a novel data set of

This paper analyses socially optimal nuclear plant operation and nuclear waste management. Two waiting rules are derived: the first characterizes the optimal continuation of electricity production, and the second gives the optimal nuclear waste disposal date. Both rules balance the cost and benefit of either continuing production or delaying waste disposal into a deep geological repository. In addition

Focusing on Japan over the period 1988–2013, this paper provides the first test of the extent to which pollution offshoring has occurred for this major industrial economy. In so doing, we identify whether the composition of domestic production, imports, overall trade patterns and overseas outsourcing has become more or less pollution intensive. We then focus on the role played by overseas outsourcing

Typically in human-earth system modeling studies, feedbacks between the earth and human systems are analyzed by passing information between independent models. The reliance on existing Earth System Model outputs limits the ability to explore feedbacks under arbitrary scenarios and equally important limits the ability to explore large-scale uncertainty in these interactions. In this study we explore

This paper focuses on the study of an electricity market model, which evolves in T+1 stages, so that, at each stage, a continuum state of nature is possible. The decision-making framework of large consumers is considered: agents consume, they have the opportunity to produce, and the capability of signing contracts. Uncertainty on future possible stages leads to the problem being located in a filtered

In the research, we analyse the non-linear relationship between energy poverty and its determinants across the ASEAN+6 region between 1980 and 2019. Two proxies are used to capture the energy poverty viz. electricity consumption and access to electricity. The effects of the regressors on energy poverty are examined with a non-parametric estimation technique using local linear dummy variable estimates

The timing of the response of CO2 emissions to a carbon tax depends crucially on the timing of the response of energy demand to changes in energy prices. In this paper we investigate the path of changing energy demand from the moment of a change in price until it reaches its new steady state. First, by applying the LeChatelier principle, we show that the response of energy demand in the short run must

Environmental markets are widely prescribed as an alternative to open access regimes for natural resources. We develop a model of dynamic groundwater extraction to demonstrate how a spatial regression discontinuity design that exploits a spatially incomplete market for groundwater rights recovers a lower bound on the market’s net benefit. We apply this estimator to a major aquifer in water-scarce southern

We investigate the transmission of monetary policy to household consumption using administrative data on the universe of households in Norway. On the basis of identified monetary policy shocks, we estimate the dynamic responses of consumption, income, and saving along the liquid asset distribution of households. For low-liquidity but also for high-liquidity households, changes in disposable income

This paper quantifies the benefits of discretion in the enforcement of environmental regulations. We identify and estimate a structural model of regulator-discharger interactions, exploiting an increase in the enforcement stringency of water pollution regulations in California. Our estimates indicate that most of the heterogeneity in punishments for observably similar violations is due to heterogeneity

We propose a new nonparametric approach to estimate the production function for housing. Our estimation treats output as a latent variable and relies on a first-order condition for profit maximization combined with a zero-profit condition. More desirable locations command higher land prices and, in turn, more capital to build houses. For parcels of a given size, we compute housing production by summing

This paper studies the formation of math and verbal skills during compulsory education and their impact on educational attainment. Using longitudinal data that follow students in England from elementary school to university, we find that the production functions of math and verbal skills are inherently different, where cross effects are present only in the production of math skills. Results on long-term

Expert advice often extends beyond a simple recommendation, including information about alternative options. To explore the role of this referential advice, we enrich the expert’s informational advantage in a canonical model of communication with hard information. We show that when constructed just right, referential advice dissuades the decision maker from choosing options other than the recommendation

We take the perspective of an econometrician who wants to determine which of two experiments provides higher expected utility but only knows the decisions under each experiment. To compare these decisions, the econometrician must make inferences about what the experiment might have been for each set of decisions. We provide a necessary and sufficient condition that identifies when every experiment

We develop a quantitative macroeconomic theory of input-saving technical change to analyze how markets economize on scarce natural resources, with an application to fossil fuel. We find that aggregate US data call for a very low short-run substitution elasticity between energy and the capital/labor inputs. Our estimates imply that energy-saving technical change took off when the oil shocks hit in the

Journal of Political Economy, Volume 129, Issue 9, September 2021.

Journal of Political Economy, Volume 129, Issue 9, September 2021.

Journal of Political Economy, Volume 129, Issue 9, Page 2720-2720, September 2021.

We analyze the extent to which citing practices may be driven by strategic considerations. The discontinuation of the Journal of Business (JB) in 2006 for extraneous reasons serves as an exogenous shock for analyzing strategic citing behavior. Using a difference-in-differences analysis, we find that articles published in JB before 2006 experienced a relative reduction in citations of approximately

We study the repeated prisoner’s dilemma with random matching, a canonical model of community enforcement with decentralized information. We assume that (1) with small probability, each player is a “bad type” who never cooperates, (2) players observe and remember their partners’ identities, and (3) each player interacts with others frequently but meets any particular partner infrequently. We show that

We study the set of possible joint posterior belief distributions of a group of agents who share a common prior regarding a binary state and who observe some information structure. For two agents, we introduce a quantitative version of Aumann’s agreement theorem and show that it is equivalent to a characterization of feasible distributions from a 1995 work by Dawid and colleagues. For any number of

This paper explores inequalities in IQ and economic preferences between children from families of high and low socioeconomic status (SES). We document that children from high-SES families are more intelligent, patient, and altruistic as well as less risk seeking. To understand the underlying mechanisms, we propose a framework of how SES, parental investments, as well as maternal IQ and preferences

Journal of Political Economy, Volume 129, Issue 9, September 2021.

A frictionless general equilibrium model featuring heterogeneous time-varying risk tolerance explains the business cycle dynamics of intermediary leverage, aggregate credit, and other asset markets’ facts. In booms, when risk tolerance is high, households borrow more and aggregate credit increases funded by higher intermediary debt. In recessions, credit contracts and intermediaries delever. Yet, their

In this paper the Covid-19 pandemic has been analysed from sustainability and climate change perspectives with the help of a recursive dynamic CGE model for India. The Covid-19 could have major long term impacts on GDP, household income, inequality, CO2 emissions, and carbon prices. Significant slowdown in labour intensive informal sectors such as construction and services, as well as in energy intensive

Given the recent debate on the role of central banks under climate change, this research theoretically investigates the mix of monetary and climate policy and provides insights for central banks who are considering their engagement in the climate change issue. The “climate-augmented” monetary policy is pioneeringly proposed and studied. We build an extended Environmental Dynamic Stochastic General

We assess the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on venture capital (VC) investments, documenting a significant decline in investments using a dataset of 39,527 funding rounds occurring before and during the pandemic in 130 countries. In line with our theoretical considerations, we show that this decline is more pronounced for investments characterized by higher uncertainty, namely investments in seed-stage

The question of why some firms grow faster than others is of high theoretical and practical importance. Beyond a wealth of studies based on stochastic models, firm growth has mostly been explained by looking at the structural characteristics of firms, sectors, and countries. The role of managers’ characteristics in fostering firms’ growth has been explored much less. In this study, we adopt one key

We estimate a structural model of broker choice to quantitatively decompose the value that institutional investors attach to broker services. Studying over 300 million institutional equity trades, we find that investors are sensitive to both explicit and implicit trading costs and are willing to pay a premium for access to formal and informal research. Formal and informal research account for roughly

We apply a new methodology for identifying pervasive and discrete changes (“breaks”) in cross-sectional risk premia. Size, value, and investment risk premia have fallen off to the point where they are insignificantly different from zero at the end of the sample period. The market risk premium has also declined systematically over time but remains significant and positive as do the momentum and profitability

I study how people understand, reason, and learn about two major tax policies: income taxation and estate taxation. Using large-scale Social Economics surveys issued to representative U.S. samples and associated experiments, I seek to elicit respondents’ factual knowledge about tax policy and the income or wealth distributions. Most importantly, I study their understanding of the mechanisms of tax

We examine how a European carbon price will affect citizens by studying its incidence on households in 23 countries of the EU. At the national level, the distributional impact before revenue recycling is mainly neutral, sometimes progressive. At an aggregate EU level, however, the impact is regressive because some low-income countries would be strongly affected by the carbon price. While national redistribution

The present paper illustrates the use of principal component analysis (PCA) on the congestion component of local (i.e. zonal) electricity price data to detect the most salient congestion patterns in electricity transmission grids managed by either a Regional Transmission Organization (RTO) or an Independent System Operator (ISO). Outputs from the PCA along with some data visualization tools are shown