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Trump Support Explains COVID-19 Health Behaviors in the United States Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2024-02-29 Shana Kushner Gadarian, Sara Wallace Goodman, Thomas B Pepinsky
A wide range of empirical scholarship has documented a partisan gap in health behaviors during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States, but the political foundations and temporal dynamics of these partisan gaps remain poorly understood. Using an original six-wave individual panel study (n = 3,000) of Americans throughout the course of the COVID-19 pandemic, we show that at the individual level,
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The Crucial Role of Race in Twenty-First Century US Political Realignment Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2024-02-29 Michael Barber, Jeremy C Pope
Traditional realignment theory has fallen out of fashion among political scientists, yet the popular press talk about political realignments with great regularity. However, in this research note we show that political science should reconsider realignment theory because over the last decade American politics has dramatically realigned—but only for white Americans. Specifically, we demonstrate that
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COVID-19 Spillover Effects onto General Vaccine Attitudes Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2024-02-27 Kristin Lunz Trujillo, Jon Green, Alauna Safarpour, David Lazer, Jennifer Lin, Matthew Motta
Even amid the unprecedented public health challenges attributable to the COVID-19 pandemic, opposition to vaccinating against the novel coronavirus has been both prevalent and politically contentious in American public life. In this paper, we theorize that attitudes toward COVID-19 vaccination might “spill over” to shape attitudes toward “postpandemic” vaccination programs and policy mandates for years
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Social Desirability and Affective Polarization Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-12-13 Elizabeth C Connors
Media coverage of affective polarization—partisans disliking and distrusting out-partisans while liking and trusting in-partisans—is abundant, both creating and reflecting a belief among the public that partisans are more affectively polarized than they are. These trends suggest that affective polarization among partisans could be viewed as socially desirable, which may then shape partisans’ expressed
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Expectations for Policy Change and Participation Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-12-13 Curtis Bram
What policy changes do people expect from elections, and how do these expectations influence the decision to vote? This paper seeks to understand the relationship between people’s expectations and their subsequent voting behavior by examining beliefs about what candidates would actually do if given political power. I start with a survey of political scientists and compare their forecasts about what
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The Reverse Backlash: How the Success of Populist Radical Right Parties Relates to More Positive Immigration Attitudes Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-12-12 James Dennison, Alexander Kustov
What is the relationship between the electoral success of populist radical right parties (PRRPs) and public attitudes toward immigration? Previous research suggests that PRRP success can lead to more negative attitudes due to the breaking down of antiprejudice norms and more prominent anti-immigration party cues. However, we argue that greater PRRP success could have a positive relationship with immigration
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Autocratic Legalism, Partisanship, and Popular Legitimation in Authoritarian Cameroon Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-12-12 Natalie Wenzell Letsa, Yonatan L Morse
Authoritarian regimes regularly turn to the law to justify repression. This article examines whether invoking legal institutions has a persuasive effect on public perceptions of repression, and whether that effect is shaped by partisanship. The article uses the case of Cameroon’s Special Criminal Tribunal, created in 2011 to prosecute high-profile corruption cases. A survey experiment was designed
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National Origin Identity and Descriptive Representativeness: Understanding Preferences for Asian Candidates and Representation Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-12-12 Jennifer D Wu
This paper examines how an Asian candidate’s national origin background affects their perceived ability to represent different constituents. Would Asian voters prefer any Asian candidate over someone who is non-Asian? Using a series of survey experiments that randomly emphasize the national origin backgrounds of two real politicians and a hypothetical politician, I find that politicians who are East
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The Asymmetric Polarization of Immigration Opinion in the United States Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-12-12 Trent Ollerenshaw, Ashley Jardina
In this paper, we analyze trends in Americans’ immigration attitudes and policy preferences nationally and across partisan and racial/ethnic groups. In the 1990s and early 2000s, Democrats and Republicans shared similarly negative attitudes toward immigrants and high levels of support for restrictionist immigration policies. Beginning in the 2010s and continuing through the early 2020s, however, Democrats’
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News from Home: How Local Media Shapes Climate Change Attitudes Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-12-05 Talbot M Andrews, Cana Kim, Jeong Hyun Kim
Highlighting the local impacts of climate change has the potential to increase the public’s awareness of and engagement with climate change. However, information about local impacts is only effective when delivered by trusted sources such as copartisan political leaders. Is information about climate change conveyed by local media sources similarly beneficial? We argue that local media are well positioned
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Bias and Variance in Multiparty Election Polls Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-11-30 Peter Selb, Sina Chen, John Körtner, Philipp Bosch
Recent polling failures highlight that election polls are prone to biases that the margin of error customarily reported with polls does not capture. However, such systematic errors are difficult to assess against the background noise of sampling variance. Shirani-Mehr et al. (2018) developed a hierarchical Bayesian model to disentangle random and systematic errors in poll estimates of two-party vote
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Personality and Survey Satisficing Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-09-17 Patrick Sturgis, Ian Brunton-Smith
In this paper, we consider the role of personality as a component of motivation in promoting or inhibiting the tendency to exhibit the satisficing response styles of midpoint, straightlining, and Don’t Know responding. We assess whether respondents who are low on the Conscientiousness and Agreeableness dimensions of the Big Five Personality Inventory are more likely to exhibit these satisficing response
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The Effects of Elite Attacks on Copartisan Media: Evidence from Trump and Fox News Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-09-17 Allison M N Archer
Individuals seeking news content face a variety of options in the current media landscape, yet scholarly research provides little evidence regarding the conditions under which they might become more or less open to different partisan news outlets. Drawing on the case of Donald Trump’s critiques of Fox News, I argue that elite rhetoric plays an important role in this process for members of both parties
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Public Support for Democracy in the United States Has Declined Generationally. Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-09-15 Christopher Claassen,Pedro C Magalhães
Support for democracy in the United States, once thought to be solid, has now been shown to be somewhat shaky. One of the most concerning aspects of this declining attachment to democracy is a marked age gap, with younger Americans less supportive of democracy than their older compatriots. Using age-period-cohort analysis of 12 national surveys collected between 1995 and 2019, we show that this age
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Privacy Attitudes toward Mouse-Tracking Paradata Collection Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-08-09 Felix Henninger, Pascal J Kieslich, Amanda Fernández-Fontelo, Sonja Greven, Frauke Kreuter
Survey participants’ mouse movements provide a rich, unobtrusive source of paradata, offering insight into the response process beyond the observed answers. However, the use of mouse tracking may require participants’ explicit consent for their movements to be recorded and analyzed. Thus, the question arises of how its presence affects the willingness of participants to take part in a survey at all—if
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Income Source Confusion Using the SILC Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-08-09 Christopher Robert Bollinger, Iva Valentinova Tasseva
We use a unique panel of household survey data—the Austrian version of the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (SILC) for 2008–2011—which have been linked to individual administrative records on both state unemployment benefits and earnings. We assess the extent and structure of misreporting across similar benefits and between benefits and earnings. We document that many respondents
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Social Media Effects on Public Trust in the European Union. Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-08-03 Osman Sabri Kiratli
This paper scrutinizes the effect of social media use on institutional trust in the European Union (EU) among European citizens. Fixed-effects regression models on data from the Eurobarometer survey conducted in 2019, the year of the most recent European Parliament (EP) elections, demonstrate that higher social media use is associated with lower trust in the EU. More importantly, social media usage
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Factors Associated with Interviewers' Evaluations of Respondents' Performance in Telephone Interviews: Behavior, Response Quality Indicators, and Characteristics of Respondents and Interviewers. Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-07-20 Dana Garbarski,Jennifer Dykema,Nora Cate Schaeffer,Cameron P Jones,Tiffany S Neman,Dorothy Farrar Edwards
Interviewers' postinterview evaluations of respondents' performance (IEPs) are paradata, used to describe the quality of the data obtained from respondents. IEPs are driven by a combination of factors, including respondents' and interviewers' sociodemographic characteristics and what actually transpires during the interview. However, relatively few studies examine how IEPs are associated with features
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Ethical Considerations for Augmenting Surveys with Auxiliary Data Sources Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-07-12 Bella Struminskaya, Joseph W Sakshaug
Survey researchers frequently use supplementary data sources, such as paradata, administrative data, and contextual data to augment surveys and enhance substantive and methodological research capabilities. While these data sources can be beneficial, integrating them with surveys can give rise to ethical and data privacy issues that have not been completely resolved. In this research synthesis, we review
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Disagreement Does Not Always Mean Division: Evidence from Five Decades of American Public Opinion Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-06-13 Stuart Perrett
Are those things on which Americans most disagree the same things that divide liberals and conservatives or Democrats and Republicans? How has this changed over time? To answer these questions, I use 350 subjective items from five decades of the General Social Survey. Estimating disagreement with ordinal dispersion and using a novel measure of sorting by party and ideological identification, I find
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Increasing the Acceptance of Smartphone-Based Data Collection Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-06-13 Alexander Wenz, Florian Keusch
To study human behavior, social scientists are increasingly collecting data from mobile apps and sensors embedded in smartphones. A major challenge of studies implemented on general population samples, however, is that participation rates are rather low. While previous research has started to investigate the factors affecting individuals’ decision to participate in such studies, less is known about
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Augmenting Surveys with Paradata, Administrative Data, and Contextual Data. Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-06-10 Joseph W Sakshaug,Bella Struminskaya
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Evaluating Pre-election Polling Estimates Using a New Measure of Non-ignorable Selection Bias Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-06-08 Brady T West, Rebecca R Andridge
Among the numerous explanations that have been offered for recent errors in pre-election polls, selection bias due to non-ignorable partisan nonresponse bias, where the probability of responding to a poll is a function of the candidate preference that a poll is attempting to measure (even after conditioning on other relevant covariates used for weighting adjustments), has received relatively less focus
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The Effects of Polarized Evaluations on Political Participation: Does Hating the Other Side Motivate Voters? Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-05-12 Chloe Ahn, Diana C Mutz
This study examines whether rising polarization in Americans’ partisan judgments has positive implications for political participation. Drawing on cross-sectional and panel survey data, we find evidence that polarized judgments are related to pre-election intent to vote, as well as to post-election self-reported voter turnout. Polarized evaluations also predict greater reporting of participation in
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Trends in Abortion Attitudes: From Roe to Dobbs Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-05-11 Barbara Norrander, Clyde Wilcox
American public opinion on abortion has been investigated a multitude of times since the Supreme Court’s 1973 ruling in Roe v. Wade. In this trends article, we review public attitudes in five areas: (1) support or opposition to Roe v. Wade, (2) basic attitudes toward abortion, (3) attitudes toward abortion under different conditions, (4) attachments to the pro-choice versus pro-life labels, and (5)
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What They Have but Also Who They Are: Avarice, Elitism, and Public Support for Taxing the Rich Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-05-11 John V Kane, Benjamin J Newman
Scholarship evaluating public support for redistribution has emphasized that stereotypical perceptions of low-income people inform citizens’ willingness to redistribute wealth to the poor. Less understood, however, is the extent to which stereotypical perceptions of high-income people lead to greater willingness to raise taxes on high-income individuals. These perceptions likely involve resource-based
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Women Experts and Gender Bias in Political Media Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-05-11 Adam L Ozer
Widely held gender stereotypes present obstacles for women experts, who are generally evaluated less positively than equally qualified men across a range of fields. While audiences may view women as better equipped to handle certain feminine-stereotyped issues, Role Congruency Theory suggests that expert authority in politics may be incongruent with traditional feminine gender roles, leading to a subsequent
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The Impact of Racial Descriptive Norms on Vaccination against COVID-19 Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-04-30 Marzia Oceno, Wei-Ting Yen
Racial disparities have persisted in COVID-19 infection, hospitalization, and death rates in the United States. Differences in vaccination hesitancy have also emerged by race: communities of color and, particularly, African Americans have been more reluctant to get a vaccine to prevent COVID-19. Can racial descriptive norms provide a tool to increase confidence and reduce hesitancy within the US public
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Television, Authoritarianism, and Support for Trump: A Replication Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-04-29 Erik Hermann, Michael Morgan, James Shanahan, Harry Yaojun Yan
Many factors contributed to support for Donald Trump in the 2016 US presidential election, among them media influences. Morgan and Shanahan (2017) found that television viewing was associated with support for Trump, mediated through authoritarianism. In light of the changes in the political and media environments during Trump’s presidency, our study examined whether Morgan and Shanahan’s (2017) findings
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Truth and Bias, Left and Right: Testing Ideological Asymmetries with a Realistic News Supply Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-04-29 Bernhard Clemm von Hohenberg
The debate around “fake news” has raised the question of whether liberals and conservatives differ, first, in their ability to discern true from false information, and second, in their tendency to give more credit to information that is ideologically congruent. Typical designs to measure these asymmetries select, often arbitrarily, a small set of news items as experimental stimuli without clear reference
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Public Opinion and Cyberterrorism Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-04-03 Ryan Shandler, Nadiya Kostyuk, Harry Oppenheimer
Research into cyber-conflict, public opinion, and international security is burgeoning, yet the field suffers from an absence of conceptual agreement about key terms. For instance, every time a cyberattack takes place, a public debate erupts as to whether it constitutes cyberterrorism. This debate bears significant consequences, seeing as the ascription of a “terrorism” label enables the application
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“Deservingness” and Public Support for Universal Public Goods: A Survey Experiment Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-04-03 Thomas Gift, Carlos X Lastra-Anadón
Voters support less spending on means-tested entitlements when they perceive beneficiaries as lacking motivation to work and pay taxes. Yet do concerns about the motivations of “undeserving” beneficiaries also extend to universal public goods (UPGs) that are free and available to all citizens? Lower spending on UPGs poses a particular trade-off: it lessens subsidization of “unmotivated” beneficiaries
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Weaving It In: How Political Radio Reacts to Events Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-03-27 Clara Vandeweerdt
How do ideologically slanted media outlets react to politically relevant events? Previous research suggests that partisan media trumpet ideologically congenial events, such as opposing-party scandals, while ignoring bad news for their own side. Looking at reactions to newsworthy events on political radio—an often-partisan medium that reaches more Americans than Twitter—I find a different pattern. Based
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Satisfaction with Democracy: A Review of a Major Public Opinion Indicator Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-03-08 Shane P Singh, Quinton Mayne
Satisfaction with democracy (SWD) is one of the most commonly studied topics in the fields of political behavior and public opinion. Gauged with a survey question that asks respondents whether they are satisfied with the way democracy works, SWD has featured as an independent or dependent variable in more than 400 publications. In this Synthesis, we review the evolution and findings of this nearly
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The Devil No More? Decreasing Negative Outparty Affect through Asymmetric Partisan Thinking Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-03-07 Wayde Z C Marsh
Political scientists, party elites, and journalists agree that affective polarization and negative partisanship are serious problems in American politics, but is it possible to reverse this trend and decrease negative outparty affect? Using two original survey experiments that manipulate partisans to think of the Republican and Democratic parties in either expressive or instrumental terms, I find that
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Affective Polarization in Comparative and Longitudinal Perspective Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-02-24 Diego Garzia, Frederico Ferreira da Silva, Simon Maye
Existent research shows that affective polarization has been intensifying in some publics, diminishing in others, and remaining stable in most. We contribute to this debate by providing the most encompassing comparative and longitudinal account of affective polarization so far. We resort to a newly assembled dataset able to track partisan affect, with varying time series, in eighteen democracies over
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Emotionally Coping with Terrorism Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-02-07 Antoine J Banks, Heather M Hicks, Jennifer L Merolla
Individuals often experience anger after exposure to news about a terrorist attack. Are the coping strategies available to them effective in reducing anger, and with what consequences for policy attitudes? We argue that because terrorism is a complex problem, people should feel better distancing themselves from the threat than engaging in confrontive strategies against it, and this should lead to less
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Survey Attention and Self-Reported Political Behavior Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-02-02 R Michael Alvarez, Yimeng Li
Survey research methodology is evolving rapidly, as new technologies provide new opportunities. One of the areas of innovation regards the development of online interview best practices and the advancement of methods that allow researchers to measure the attention that respondents are devoting to the survey task. Reliable measurement of respondent attention can yield important information about the
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Lying for Trump? Elite Cue-Taking and Expressive Responding on Vote Method Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-02-01 Enrijeta Shino, Daniel A Smith, Laura Uribe
Might elite cues affect how we vote? Extant literature focuses on effects of elite cues on candidate evaluation or policy preference, but we know little about how they might affect vote method preferences. Drawing on a large survey of validated Florida voters, including those who regularly vote by mail, we find that retrospective and prospective misreporting of vote method prior to the 2020 General
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Estimating the Between-Issue Variation in Party Elite Cue Effects Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-02-01 Ben M Tappin
Party elite cues are among the most well-established influences on citizens’ political opinions. Yet, there is substantial variation in effect sizes across studies, constraining the generalizability and theoretical development of party elite cues research. Understanding the causes of variation in party elite cue effects is thus a priority for advancing the field. In this paper, I estimate the variation
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Before the Party Hijacks: The Limited Role of Party Cues in Appraisal of Low-Salience Policies—Experimental Evidence Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-02-01 Clareta Treger
What shapes Americans’ policy preferences: partisanship or policy content? While previous studies have addressed this question, many of them focused on high-salience policies. This raises an identification challenge because the content of such policies contains party cues. The current study employs a diverse set of low-salience policies to discern the unique effects of party cues and policy content
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Polarization Eh? Ideological Divergence and Partisan Sorting in the Canadian Mass Public Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-02-01 Eric Merkley
There has been increasing concern among commentators and scholars about polarization in Canada. This note uses the Canadian Election Study from 1993 to 2019 to measure trends in ideological divergence, ideological consistency, and partisan-ideological sorting in the Canadian mass public. It finds only mixed evidence that Canadians are diverging ideologically and becoming more polarized—ideological
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Strategic Discrimination in the 2020 Democratic Primary Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-02-01 Jon Green, Brian Schaffner, Sam Luks
Primary voters frequently support the candidates they think have a greater chance of winning the general election over the candidates who most closely reflect their policy preferences—a perception referred to as “electability.” While electability is typically taken to mean ideological moderation, recent research highlights the potential for candidates’ demographic characteristics to affect such perceptions
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Updating amidst Disagreement: New Experimental Evidence on Partisan Cues Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-02-01 Anthony Fowler, William G Howell
In this era of hyper-polarization and partisan animosity, do people incorporate the viewpoints of their political opponents? Perhaps not. An important body of research, in fact, finds that the provision of information about opponents’ policy views leads survey respondents to reflexively adopt the opposite position. In this paper, we demonstrate that such findings arise from incomplete experimental
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Does Social Desirability Bias Distort Survey Analyses of Ideology and Self-Interest? Evidence from a List Experiment on Progressive Taxation Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2023-01-31 Tobias Heide-Jørgensen
The relative importance of ideological orientations and material self-interest as determinants of political attitudes is still discussed. Using a novel list experiment on opposition to progressive taxation embedded in a large representative Danish online survey (N = 2,010), I study how social desirability concerns bias the conclusions survey researchers draw regarding the influence of self-interest
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Varieties of Mobility Measures: Comparing Survey and Mobile Phone Data during the COVID-19 Pandemic. Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2022-12-02 Fabian Kalleitner,David W Schiestl,Georg Heiler
Human mobility has become a major variable of interest during the COVID-19 pandemic and central to policy decisions all around the world. To measure individual mobility, research relies on a variety of indicators that commonly stem from two main data sources: survey self-reports and behavioral mobility data from mobile phones. However, little is known about how mobility from survey self-reports relates
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Testing Public Reactions to Mass-Protest Hybrid Media Events Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2022-09-14 Manuel Jiménez-Sánchez, Marta Fraile, Josep Lobera
The configuration of protests as hybrid media events not only enables them to reach wider audiences but also favors the transformation of those audiences into active publics. In this increasingly common scenario, our study proposes a set of indicators to scrutinize how the public reacts during such hybrid media events, and to test such reactions in light of the mass protests that took place in Spain
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Close (Causally Connected) Cousins? Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2022-09-06 Peter Thisted Dinesen, Kim Mannemar Sønderskov, Jacob Sohlberg, Peter Esaiasson
Trust in one’s fellow citizens and in politicians are both conducive to well-functioning government. Beyond their separate importance, it is a long-standing notion that generalized social trust and political trust are connected in a mutually reinforcing relationship that further undergirds democratic governance. While it is well established that social trust and political trust are robustly positively
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Does Political Participation Contribute to Polarization in the United States? Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2022-09-06 Lisa P Argyle, Jeremy C Pope
Polarization and participation are often connected in the political science literature, though sometimes the causality runs participation to polarization and sometimes the causality runs in the reverse direction. In some accounts there is an expectation that increasing participation and increasing polarization generate an ongoing spiral effect. In this paper we evaluate the over-time relationships
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Factual Corrections Eliminate False Beliefs About COVID-19 Vaccines Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2022-09-06 Ethan Porter, Yamil Velez, Thomas J Wood
The spread of misinformation about COVID-19 vaccines threatens to prolong the pandemic, with prior evidence indicating that exposure to misinformation has negative effects on intent to be vaccinated. We describe results from randomized experiments in the United States (n = 5,075) that allow us to measure the effects of factual corrections on false beliefs about the vaccine and vaccination intent. Our
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Measuring support for women’s political leadership Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2022-09-02 Aksel Sundström, Daniel Stockemer
Public opinion surveys are a fundamental tool to measure support for women’s political rights. This article focuses on perceptions of women’s suitability for leadership. To what extent do influential cross-country surveys that include such items suffer from measurement errors stemming from gender of interviewer effects? Building on the literature on social desirability, we expect that respondents are
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The Domestic Impact of International Shaming Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2022-08-12 Faradj Koliev, Douglas Page, Jonas Tallberg
Do international shaming efforts affect citizens’ support for government policies? While it is a frequent claim in the literature that shaming works through domestic politics, we know little about how and when international criticism affects domestic public opinion. We address this question through an originally designed survey experiment in Sweden, which (i) compares the effects of international shaming
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Political Accountability and Selective Perception in the Time of COVID Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2022-08-12 Sean Freeder, Neil A O’Brian
That voters punish the incumbent president in bad times, and reward them in good times, has become a stylized fact of elections. Despite COVID-19 representing an unprecedented catastrophe, Trump’s approval ratings, unlike other world leaders, remained stable throughout 2020. To explore this puzzle, we surveyed the same Americans twice before the 2020 election—a period when COVID cases spiked. Instead
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The Conditional Relationship of Psychological Needs to Ideology Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2022-04-29 Trent Ollerenshaw,Christopher D Johnston
Abstract We offer novel tests of hypotheses regarding the conditional relationship of psychological needs to political ideology. Using five personality measures and a large national sample, our findings affirm that political engagement plays an important moderating role in the relationship between needs for certainty and security and political identification, values, and policy preferences. We find
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Payday and Public Opinion toward Taxation Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2022-04-29 Tobias Heide-Jørgensen
Abstract If citizens pay insufficient attention to tax policies or cannot figure out how they are taxed, politicians may raise taxes more than is desired by the public, with few electoral repercussions. This scenario is central to the notion of “fiscal illusion” and is potentially problematic from a democratic point of view. In this article, I argue that payday is an opportunity for citizens to update
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Danny Hayes and Jennifer L. Lawless. News Hole: The Demise of Local Journalism and Political Engagement. Reviewed by Erik Peterson Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2022-03-29 Erik Peterson
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Diana C. Mutz. Winners and Losers: The Psychology of Foreign Trade. Reviewed by Scott Clifford Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2022-03-29 Scott Clifford
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The Structure of American Political Discontent Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2022-03-29 Jack Santucci,Joshua J Dyck
Abstract We explore the role of “political discontent” as a second dimension of American public opinion. Others have shown that a second dimension tends to capture social and/or racial attitudes. What happens when indicators of discontent are included in such analyses? Using data from two surveys and the ordered optimal classification (OOC) procedure, we scale seven items from the “discontent” literature
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Peter Lynn (Editor). Advances in Longitudinal Survey Methodology. Reviewed by Brady T. West Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2022-03-29 Brady T West
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The Polls—Trends Public Opinion Quarterly (IF 4.616) Pub Date : 2022-02-02 Ayelet Banai, Fabio Votta, Rosa Seitz
This article presents trends in public opinion toward immigration in the European Union (EU), between 2002 and 2018. Immigration is a salient and contentious issue in contemporary politics across Europe and is used by Eurosceptic parties in both government and opposition to mobilize support. Public opinion data—drawn from the European Social Survey and the Eurobarometer—reveals the following noteworthy