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Distribution and invasion risk assessments of Chrysodeixis includens (Walker, [1858]) (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) using CLIMEX
International Journal of Biometeorology ( IF 3.0 ) Pub Date : 2021-04-12 , DOI: 10.1007/s00484-021-02094-0
João Rafael Silva Soares 1 , Ricardo Siqueira da Silva 2 , Rodrigo Soares Ramos 3 , Marcelo Coutinho Picanço 1, 3
Affiliation  

Chrysodeixis includens is a polyphagous pest restricted to the American continent. The occurrence of C. includens is allied, among other factors, by favorable conditions such as temperature, humidity, presence of hosts, and migratory behavior. In this work, we built spatiotemporal species distribution models at continental and global levels for the distribution of C. includens using CLIMEX to determine times and regions favorable for year-round survival and migration of this species and in case of invasion on other continents to apply timely and right phytosanitary measures. Our models estimated high climate suitability for C. includens in Central and large proportions of South America throughout the year. Moreover, there is suitability for C. includens growth in all months of the year in Central and northern part of South America. In the northern hemisphere, these conditions range from April to October, while in mid-southern parts of South America, favorable periods comprise October through June. The countries with the highest suitability for C. includens outside the American continent are located on the African and Asian continents. Our results show variable climate suitability for C. includens during the year that help to understand likely migration pattern in North America. This information would direct efforts for appropriate C. includens management during warm and moist periods of the year. Furthermore, our models notify the need for the development of strategies for the inspection and interception of C. includens especially in central Africa, India, South and Southeast Asia, and Northeast Australia.



中文翻译:

使用CLIMEX评估了中华金龟属植物的分布和侵袭风险(Walker,[1858])(鳞翅目:夜蛾科)

中华金龟植物是一种仅限于美洲大陆的多食性害虫。除其他因素外,C。includens的出现还受到有利条件的影响,例如温度,湿度,宿主的存在和迁徙行为。在这项工作中,我们使用CLIMEX在大陆和全球范围内建立了C. includens分布的时空物种分布模型,以确定有利于该物种全年生存和迁移以及在其他大洲入侵的情况下应用的时间和区域。及时采取正确的植物检疫措施。我们的模型估算了全年中南部和大部分南美地区对隐孢子虫的高度气候适应性。而且,有适合南美中部和北部一年中所有月份的C.includes增长。在北半球,这些条件范围是从四月到十月,而在南美洲中南部地区,有利的时期是从十月到六月。在美洲大陆之外,对美洲梭状芽胞杆菌的适应性最高的国家位于非洲和亚洲大陆。我们的研究结果表明,一年中C. includens的气候适应性各异,这有助于了解北美的可能迁移模式。这些信息将指导适当的C.includens的工作一年中温暖潮湿的季节进行管理。此外,我们的模型表明需要开发检查和拦截隐孢子虫的策略,尤其是在中部非洲,印度,南亚和东南亚以及澳大利亚东北部。

更新日期:2021-04-12
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