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Three doors anomaly, “should I stay, or should I go”: an artefactual field experiment
Theory and Decision ( IF 0.9 ) Pub Date : 2021-04-04 , DOI: 10.1007/s11238-021-09809-0
Andrea Morone , Rocco Caferra , Alessia Casamassima , Alessandro Cascavilla , Paola Tiranzoni

This work aims to identify and quantify the biases behind the anomalous behavior of people when they deal with the Three Doors dilemma, which is a really simple but counterintuitive game. Carrying out an artefactual field experiment and proposing eight different treatments to isolate the anomalies, we provide new interesting experimental evidence on the reasons why subjects fail to take the optimal decision. According to the experimental results, we are able to quantify the size and the impact of three main biases that explain the anomalous behavior of participants: Bayesian updating, illusion of control and status quo bias.



中文翻译:

三个门异常,“我应该留下,还是我应该走”:人工现场实验

这项工作旨在识别和量化人们应对三门困境时的异常行为背后的偏见,这是一个非常简单但违反直觉的游戏。进行人工仿真实验并提出八种不同的方法来隔离异常,我们提供了关于受试者未能做出最佳决策的原因的有趣的新实验证据。根据实验结果,我们能够量化解释参与者异常行为的三个主要偏差的大小和影响:贝叶斯更新,控制错觉和现状偏差。

更新日期:2021-04-04
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