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Coastal Vulnerability under Extreme Weather
Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy ( IF 2.043 ) Pub Date : 2020-07-30 , DOI: 10.1007/s12061-020-09357-0
Alan T. Murray , Leila Carvalho , Richard L. Church , Charles Jones , Dar Roberts , Jing Xu , Katelyn Zigner , Deanna Nash

Communities like Santa Barbara, California appear to have it all – beaches, mountains, sunshine, moderate temperatures, small urban population, and close proximity to the large metropolis of Los Angeles. What is not to love? Climate change, drought, flammable vegetation, and naturally prevailing weather conditions make a significant portion of the population vulnerable in many ways. Earthquakes and tsunamis might come to mind, but perhaps more of a threat is fire and/or flooding at, on or near the wildland-urban interface. The recent Thomas fire in December of 2017 and subsequent flooding, debris flow and mudslides in Montecito that followed in January of 2018 highlight what coastal vulnerability means under the new normal of extreme wildfire and flooding danger for this region. This paper discusses the unique hazards along with local weather conditions that contribute to vulnerability. We then detail spatial analytics to assess, model and predict risks. Insights are offered for the Santa Barbara region associated with extreme weather vulnerabilities.



中文翻译:

极端天气下的沿海脆弱性

像加利福尼亚州圣巴巴拉这样的社区似乎拥有一切——海滩、山脉、阳光、温和的温度、城市人口少,并且靠近大都市洛杉矶。什么叫不爱?气候变化、干旱、易燃植被和自然盛行的天气条件使很大一部分人口在许多方面变得脆弱。可能会想到地震和海啸,但也许更多的威胁是在荒地-城市交界处、其上或附近发生火灾和/或洪水。最近在 2017 年 12 月发生的托马斯火灾以及随后于 2018 年 1 月在 Montecito 发生的洪水、泥石流和泥石流凸显了在该地区极端野火和洪水危险的新常态下沿海脆弱性意味着什么。本文讨论了导致脆弱性的独特灾害以及当地天气条件。然后,我们详细介绍空间分析以评估、建模和预测风险。为与极端天气脆弱性相关的圣巴巴拉地区提供见解。

更新日期:2020-07-30
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