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Assessing the Economic Risk of Building Damage due to the Tunneling-Induced Settlement Using Monte Carlo Simulations and BIM
Sustainability ( IF 3.9 ) Pub Date : 2020-12-01 , DOI: 10.3390/su122310034
Stylianos Providakis , Chris D. F. Rogers , David N. Chapman

Due to the increasing use of underground space to align with sustainability needs, geohazard risk assessments have become a valuable tool for decision-making. One common issue in relation to urban geohazard assessments relates to ground movements due to tunneling affecting adjacent buildings. A framework for assessing costs related to subsequent building damage, using integrated data, statistics and considering the uncertainties involved, is presented in this paper. The proposed methodology provides an integration of Monte Carlo simulations to support uncertainty estimations with an analysis for building-damage cost risk due to tunneling-induced settlements. The analysis involves analytical models using green-field conditions and a typically used building damage assessment method. BIM is capable of collating, combining and visualizing information with advanced analysis techniques into a risk-based tool. The resulting tool provides a clear way of assessing building-damage costs risk due to tunneling-induced settlements. This uses a BIM-based environment and incorporates 3D visualizations and an integrated analysis via MATLAB to reveal and highlight hazardous areas and the severity of economic risk along the tunneling route. This informs the need for additional ground investigations or secondary analyses to ensure engineering processes reduce or remove the risk of economic damage and advance sustainable decision-making.

中文翻译:

使用蒙特卡洛模拟和 BIM 评估因隧道引起的沉降造成的建筑物损坏的经济风险

由于越来越多地使用地下空间来满足可持续性需求,地质灾害风险评估已成为决策的重要工具。与城市地质灾害评估相关的一个常见问题与由于隧道影响相邻建筑物而引起的地面运动有关。本文提出了使用综合数据、统计数据并考虑所涉及的不确定性来评估与后续建筑物损坏相关的成本的框架。所提出的方法提供了蒙特卡罗模拟的集成,以支持不确定性估计,并分析由于隧道开挖引起的沉降造成的建筑损坏成本风险。分析涉及使用绿地条件的分析模型和通常使用的建筑物损坏评估方法。BIM能够整理,将信息与高级分析技术结合并可视化为基于风险的工具。由此产生的工具提供了一种清晰的方法来评估由于隧道开挖引起的沉降引起的建筑物损坏成本风险。这使用基于 BIM 的环境,并通过 MATLAB 结合 3D 可视化和集成分析,以揭示和突出隧道沿线的危险区域和经济风险的严重程度。这表明需要进行额外的地面调查或二次分析,以确保工程过程减少或消除经济损失的风险并推进可持续决策。它使用基于 BIM 的环境,并通过 MATLAB 结合 3D 可视化和集成分析,以揭示和突出隧道沿线的危险区域和经济风险的严重程度。这表明需要进行额外的地面调查或二次分析,以确保工程过程减少或消除经济损失的风险并推进可持续决策。这使用基于 BIM 的环境,并通过 MATLAB 结合 3D 可视化和集成分析,以揭示和突出隧道沿线的危险区域和经济风险的严重程度。这表明需要进行额外的地面调查或二次分析,以确保工程过程减少或消除经济损失的风险并推进可持续决策。
更新日期:2020-12-01
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