Climate variability is one of the most powerful drivers that have resulted in loss of forest ecosystems. Quercus leucotrichophora (A. Camus) (Banj oak) is a keystone tree in moist temperate forests of Central Himalayas. Banj oak forests have high biodiversity, soil organic matter, and water holding capacity that supports human well-being. Climate variability coupled with anthropogenic pressure has affected the regeneration and succession patterns in these forests. Conservation of Banj oak is a socio-ecological challenge and will require an interdisciplinary approach. In the present study, we have assessed the impact of climate variability on the ecological niche of Q. leucotrichophora using the Maximum Entropy model (MaxEnt). The occurrence locations of the tree species were obtained from primary survey and published works (1984 to 2018). CMIP5 (Couple Model Inter-comparison Project)-derived bioclimatic variables were used as predictor variables in the modeling. The predictions were done following four IPCC RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) scenarios for the future periods of 2050 and 2070. Our results show that the estimated potential habitats of the Q. leucotrichophora are likely to decline by 84–99%. Shift of the species from its present habitats due to climate variability reflects unusual patterns and demands climate adaptive management for forest landscape restoration (FLR) through active community involvement in the region. The study provides information about the suitable niches for the species of Banj oak forests and addresses the growing concern of spring-shed rejuvenation using climate adaptive FLR in Central Himalayas.

气候多变性是导致森林生态系统丧失的最强大动力之一。Quercus leucotrichophora（A. Camus）（Banj橡木）是喜马拉雅中部潮湿温带森林中的重点树。班吉橡树林具有很高的生物多样性，土壤有机质和持水能力，可以支撑人类的福祉。气候多变性加上人为压力已经影响了这些森林的再生和演替模式。班杰橡木的保存是一项社会生态挑战，需要跨学科的方法。在本研究中，我们评估了气候变异性对白斑Q菌生态位的影响。使用最大熵模型（MaxEnt）。从主要调查和发表的作品（1984年至2018年）中获得了树木物种的发生位置。CMIP5（耦合模型间比较项目）衍生的生物气候变量被用作建模中的预测变量。该预测是做了以下四个IPCC RCP（代表浓度途径）对于2050年未来时期和2070我们的研究结果的情况表明的估计潜在栖息地问：leucotrichophora可能会下降84–99％。由于气候多变性，该物种从其当前栖息地的转移反映了不同寻常的模式，并要求该地区通过社区的积极参与来对森林景观恢复（FLR）进行气候适应性管理。这项研究提供了有关班吉橡树林的合适生态位的信息，并解决了喜马拉雅中部气候适应性FLR对春季棚子复兴的日益关注的问题。