Abstract

The main limiting factors for living of Ambrosia artemisiifolia L. in the Caucasus are the incoming solar energy flux in January (5250–5950 kJ m^–2 day^–1) and slope (0°–17.5°). The limiting factors for A. trifida L. are wind speed in February (2–2.4 m/s) and the incoming solar energy flux in December (4400–4800 kJ m^–2 day^–1). In accordance with the predicted trends of climate change by 2050, it is possible to expect the expansion of the total area of potentially suitable for the species habitats by a factor of 1.95 (A. artemisiifolia) and 9.78 (A. trifida) (20 295.29 and 34817.82 km²). The area of optimal habitats may increase by 2.48 and 11.78 times, respectively (9932.73 and 18 914.11 km²), including the mountainous territoties.

中文翻译：

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沙棘的范围和长期气候动力学的空间建模。高加索地区的物种

摘要

在高加索地区生活的青蒿的主要限制因素是1月的入射太阳能通量（5250-5950 kJ m ^-2天^-1）和坡度（0°-17.5°）。Trifida L.的限制因素是2月的风速（2-2.4 m / s）和12月的入射太阳能通量（4400-4800 kJ m ^–2天^–1）。根据到2050年气候变化的预测趋势，可以预期潜在适合该物种栖息地的总面积将以1.95（A. artemisiifolia）和9.78（A. trifida）的倍数扩展（20 295.29）和34817.82 km ²）。包括山区在内的最佳栖息地面积分别可以增加2.48倍（9932.73倍）和11.78倍（189 914.11 km ²）。