Niche‐based models often ignore spatial variation in the climatic niche of a species across its occupied range and the related variation in the response to changing climate conditions. This assumption may lead to inaccurate predictions of species distribution shifts under climate change. Models have been developed to address this issue, but most of them depend upon prior knowledge on evolutionary lineages, phenotypic traits or ecological processes underlying local adaptation or adaptive plasticity. As such information is often lacking, these models are not frequently used to predict distribution shifts for many species. This limits our ability to explore general patterns of change across species.

中文翻译：

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一种评估气候变化下种内空间生态位变化对物种分布变化影响的新颖工具

基于生态位的模型通常会忽略物种在其占据范围内的气候生态位的空间变化以及对气候条件变化的响应的相关变化。这种假设可能导致对气候变化下物种分布变化的预测不准确。已经开发出解决该问题的模型，但大多数模型都依赖于对进化谱系，表型性状或局部适应或适应性可塑性潜在的生态过程的先验知识。由于通常缺乏此类信息，因此这些模型并不经常用于预测许多物种的分布变化。这限制了我们探索跨物种变化的一般模式的能力。