The rate and magnitude of climate‐induced tree range shifts may be influenced by range‐wide variation in recruitment, which acts as a bottleneck in tree range dynamics. Here, we compare range predictions made using standard species distribution models (SDMs) and an integrated metamodelling approach that assimilates data on adult occurrence, seedling recruitment dynamics, and seedling survival under both current and future climate, and evaluate the degree to which information provided by seedling data can improve predictions of range dynamics.

中文翻译：

---

气候变化中树木募集和范围动态的多尺度整合

气候引起的树木范围变化的速率和幅度可能受到整个范围的招聘变化的影响，这是树木范围动态的瓶颈。在这里，我们比较了使用标准物种分布模型（SDM）和整合的元建模方法做出的范围预测，该方法可同化有关当前和未来气候下成年发生，幼苗募集动态和幼苗存活的数据，并评估由以下机构提供的信息的程度幼苗数据可以改善对范围动态的预测。