CO₂ (carbon dioxide) emissions from fossil fuels have turned out one of the most perilous and complex issues driving the climate change debate. The issue of increasing demand for electricity at the same time reducing CO2 emissions has become important worldwide. This study evaluates the CO₂ emissions from the power sector of Pakistan during 1978–2017 using Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index technique and scenario analysis. We estimate LMDI to check the change under prearranged elements. According to results, the shift in population, activity effects, and gross domestic product are the essential factors in charge of the increase in CO₂ emissions while carbon intensity and energy intensity effects participate in cutting emissions. Finally, scenario analysis found overall activity increases due to population and intensity of CO₂ emissions, but carbon intensity could be reduced by using cleaner energy technologies. The findings suggest that CO₂ emissions will possibly arrive at 277.9 Mt in 2035 in Pakistan. In relation with the main findings, some targeted policies suggestions are provided.

化石燃料产生的CO ₂（二氧化碳）排放已成为推动气候变化辩论的最危险和最复杂的问题之一。在全世界范围内，不断增加的电力需求同时减少二氧化碳排放量的问题已变得十分重要。这项研究使用对数均值指数技术和情景分析方法评估了1978-2017年巴基斯坦电力部门的CO ₂排放量。我们估计LMDI可以检查预定元素下的更改。根据结果​​，人口变化，活动影响和国内生产总值是导致CO ₂增加的重要因素。碳强度和能量强度效应参与减排。最后，情景分析发现，总体活动因人口和CO ₂排放强度而增加，但可以通过使用清洁能源技术来降低碳强度。研究结果表明，到2035年，巴基斯坦的CO ₂排放量可能达到277.9Mt。关于主要发现，提供了一些针对性的政策建议。