Extensive scholarship traces the development and impacts of the U.S. immigration and deportation system on Latino immigrants and U.S. born Latinos, alike. However, relatively little quantitative research has investigated the worries that Latinos express about deportation, explored the temporal dynamics in such concerns, or identified which factors predict shifts in deportation-related concerns over time. Using two waves of data for a national sample of U.S. Latino adults, the analyses explored changes in their deportation worry between 2019 and 2021, marking the transition from the Trump administration to the Biden administration. Descriptive results indicate that more than a third of Latinos reported reductions in deportation worry over the two year period, with even larger proportions of Latino immigrants, including naturalized citizens, legal permanent residents and undocumented immigrants, reporting declines in worry. Regression results reveal that, aside from indicators of legal vulnerability, other aspects of the current sociopolitical and racialized context meaningfully shape declines in deportation worries. Specifically, darker-skinned Latinos, and those experiencing more anti-Hispanic discrimination, expressing some co-ethnic linked fate, and who viewed the Trump administration as harmful to Latinos reported significant reductions in worry from 2019 to 2021, ceteris paribus. These results suggest a “calming effect” of some Latinos’ deportation worries as the Trump administration ended and the Biden administration began. Nevertheless, the study demonstrates how the racialized immigration and deportation system shapes deportation-related worries among a wide swath of Latinos, the consequences of which racialize them and spill over into their everyday lives.

中文翻译：

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行政管理的变化，驱逐出境担忧的变化？ 2019年至2021年美国拉美裔驱逐出境担忧减少情况分析

广泛的学术研究追踪了美国移民和驱逐制度的发展以及对拉丁裔移民和美国出生的拉丁裔的影响。然而，相对较少的定量研究调查了拉丁美洲人对驱逐出境的担忧，探讨了此类担忧的时间动态，或确定了哪些因素可以预测与驱逐相关的担忧随着时间的推移而发生的变化。这些分析利用美国拉丁裔成年人全国样本的两波数据，探讨了他们在 2019 年至 2021 年间被驱逐出境担忧的变化，标志着从特朗普政府到拜登政府的过渡。描述性结果表明，超过三分之一的拉美裔人表示，两年期间对驱逐出境的担忧有所减少，更大比例的拉美裔移民，包括入籍公民、合法永久居民和无证移民，表示担忧有所下降。回归结果显示，除了法律脆弱性指标之外，当前社会政治和种族化背景的其他方面也有意义地影响了驱逐出境担忧的下降。具体来说，在其他条件不变的情况下，肤色较深的拉美裔、遭受更多反拉美裔歧视、表达某种同族裔命运的人以及认为特朗普政府对拉美裔有害的人报告称，从 2019 年到 2021 年，他们的担忧显着减少。这些结果表明，随着特朗普政府的结束和拜登政府的开始，一些拉丁美洲人对被驱逐出境的担忧产生了“平静作用”。尽管如此，该研究表明，种族化的移民和驱逐制度如何在广大拉丁裔中造成与驱逐相关的担忧，其后果使他们种族化并蔓延到他们的日常生活中。