This study aimed to assess the potential impact of global climate change on the highland areas of Kastamonu, a significant province in Turkey known for its numerous and varied highlands. The investigation focused on 59 selected highland locations within the region. Using the De Martonne climate classification, projections were made for four future periods (2040, 2060, 2080, and 2100) under two scenarios: SSPs 245 and SSPs 585. The outcomes of the study indicate that the highlands under scrutiny are susceptible to substantial effects from global climate change. Notably, these climatic alterations are expected to become evident within the next two decades, predominantly manifesting as a shift towards arid climate classifications. These shifts are anticipated to have a profound impact on the composition and diversity of species in the highland ecosystems. Based on the findings, it is advisable to consider interventions for the most climate-sensitive highland areas, such as facilitating the migration of species adapted to the new climate conditions and implementing initiatives to enhance species diversity. These efforts could help mitigate the potential loss of species and populations resulting from climate change.

中文翻译：

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气候变化对土耳其卡斯塔莫努高原地区的影响评估

这项研究旨在评估全球气候变化对卡斯塔莫努高地地区的潜在影响，卡斯塔莫努是土耳其的一个重要省份，以其众多且多样化的高地而闻名。调查重点关注该地区 59 个选定的高地地点。使用德马托纳气候分类，在两种情景下对未来四个时期（2040 年、2060 年、2080 年和 2100 年）进行了预测：SSP 245 和 SSP 585。研究结果表明，受到审查的高地很容易受到重大影响来自全球气候变化。值得注意的是，这些气候变化预计将在未来二十年内变得明显，主要表现为向干旱气候分类的转变。预计这些变化将对高地生态系统中物种的组成和多样性产生深远的影响。根据研究结果，建议考虑对气候最敏感的高地地区采取干预措施，例如促进适应新气候条件的物种迁徙以及实施增强物种多样性的举措。这些努力有助于减轻气候变化造成的物种和种群的潜在损失。