Grand challenges are shaping twenty-first-century politics. Threats connected to health, climate, demographics and welfare are increasingly intruding on the lives of citizens. Still, governments are often found off-guard, and policymakers need strategies grounded in longer-term perspectives. Strategic foresight (SF) helps us to design and shape policies to prepare to withstand shocks, anticipating and adapting to changes. However, as governments work towards embedding SF into their policymaking processes, the empirical evidence suggests that applications are still piecemeal and predominantly limited to the agenda-settings and policy formulation stages. In this article, we argue that to drive anticipatory governance, foresight needs to be applied at all stages of the policy cycle, including in evaluating policies to draw lessons for future interventions. We maintain that considering SF systemically throughout the policymaking cycle, from agenda setting to evaluation, strengthens anticipatory governance.

巨大的挑战正在塑造二十一世纪的政治。与健康、气候、人口和福利有关的威胁越来越多地侵入公民的生活。尽管如此，政府往往还是措手不及，政策制定者需要立足于更长远的战略。战略远见（SF）帮助我们设计和制定政策，为抵御冲击、预测和适应变化做好准备。然而，随着各国政府努力将可持续发展纳入其政策制定过程，经验证据表明，其应用仍然是零散的，并且主要局限于议程设置和政策制定阶段。在本文中，我们认为，为了推动预期治理，需要在政策周期的各个阶段运用远见，包括评估政策，为未来的干预吸取经验教训。我们认为，从议程设定到评估，在整个政策制定周期中系统地考虑可持续发展可以加强预期治理。