In their comment on my 2020 ESR article, Schwitter and Liebe suggest that the increase in anti-refugee attacks following the 2015 New Year’s Eve sexual assaults (NYE) could be due to a simultaneous broadening of the German Federal Criminal Police Office definition of anti-refugee violence. I address Schwitter and Liebe’s concerns by (i) removing attacks that were included because of the new definition and (ii) restricting the analysis to attacks that were sourced from non-governmental sources. In both cases, the NYE event continues to have a profound effect on anti-refugee attacks, but the revised estimates are smaller than those reported in the original study: for example, in this analysis, the probability of an attack more than doubles in the first week of January 2016, as opposed to tripling in the original study. In line with the original findings, the impact of the NYE event is also more pronounced in districts with low prior levels of anti-refugee hostility.

中文翻译：

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关于除夕夜性侵犯对反难民暴力的影响：对 Schwitter 和 Liebe (2023) 的反驳

Schwitter 和 Liebe 在对我的 2020 年 ESR 文章的评论中表示，2015 年除夕性侵犯 (NYE) 后反难民攻击的增加可能是由于德国联邦刑事警察局同时扩大了反难民的定义。难民暴力。我通过以下方式解决 Schwitter 和 Liebe 的担忧：(i) 删除因新定义而包含的攻击；(ii) 将分析限制为来自非政府来源的攻击。在这两种情况下，除夕事件继续对反难民袭击产生深远影响，但修订后的估计值小于原始研究报告的估计值：例如，在本次分析中，袭击发生的概率在2016 年 1 月第一周，而不是最初研究中的三倍。