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Exploring public opposition and support across different climate policies: Poles apart?
Ecological Economics ( IF 7 ) Pub Date : 2023-04-06 , DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2023.107838
Håkon Grøn Sælen , Marianne Aasen

Based on a 2020-survey of the Norwegian public (N = 2000), we explore attitudes to eight different polices - covering increasing prices, expanding renewable energy production, and limiting petroleum production - through combining correlation, factor, regression, and cluster analyses. The cluster analysis finds that Norwegians sort into two distinct camps: those who are positive or relatively neutral toward all policies, except hydropower, versus those who strongly oppose the price-based policies and restrictions on oil extraction while being a bit more divided for the remaining policies. Regression and cluster analysis combined provide nuanced characteristics of supporters and opponents. A strong age gradient is driven particularly by support among those under thirty and opposition from people in their fifties. Income is a weak predictor of policy attitudes, while there are divides between rural and urban residents as well as between those with university degrees and those with technical or vocational education. Finally, we find that views on immigration are more relevant than traditional left-right ideology. These results are discussed in light of recent literature indicating that opposition to climate policies forms part of a larger attitudinal complex signaling resistance against societal changes generally, and are linked to right-wing populist attitudes.



中文翻译:

探索公众对不同气候政策的反对和支持:两极分化?

基于 2020 年对挪威公众的调查(N = 2000),我们通过结合相关性、因子、回归和聚类分析,探讨人们对八种不同政策的态度——包括提高价格、扩大可再生能源生产和限制石油生产。聚类分析发现,挪威人分为两个截然不同的阵营:对除水电以外的所有政策都持积极或相对中立的阵营,以及强烈反对基于价格的政策和对石油开采的限制,同时对其余政策持更分裂态度的阵营政策。回归和聚类分析相结合提供了支持者和反对者的细微差别。强烈的年龄梯度尤其受到 30 岁以下人群的支持和 50 多岁人群的反对的推动。收入是政策态度的弱预测指标,而农村和城市居民之间以及拥有大学学位的人和接受过技术或职业教育的人之间存在差异。最后,我们发现移民观点比传统的左右意识形态更相关。这些结果是根据最近的文献进行讨论的,这些文献表明反对气候政策构成了对社会变革的普遍态度复杂信号阻力的一部分,并且与右翼民粹主义态度有关。

更新日期:2023-04-09
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