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De-prosecution and death: A reply to an imprecise and ideological critique
Criminology & Public Policy ( IF 3.5 ) Pub Date : 2023-01-10 , DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12614
Thomas P. Hogan 1
Affiliation  

In an original article, I analyzed a potential causal link between the policy of de-prosecution in Philadelphia and an increase in homicides. Utilizing the traditional synthetic control method with extensive descriptive data and a donor pool of the other 99 largest cities in the United States, the results demonstrated a statistically significant increase of over 74 homicides per year in Philadelphia during 2015-19 associated with de-prosecution (p<.05). A reaction essay addressing the original article on de-prosecution has been submitted. In this reply, I correct inaccuracies in the reaction essay, explain the validity of methodological choices, discuss the reaction's misunderstanding of certain quantitative issues, and expose the ideological purposes of the reaction. In addition, I have included updated parallel research addressing the issue of de-prosecution and examine the theoretical impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the interaction between de-prosecution and homicides.

中文翻译:

解除起诉和死亡:对不精确和意识形态批评的回应

在一篇原创文章中,我分析了费城取消起诉政策与凶杀案增加之间的潜在因果关系。利用具有广泛描述性数据的传统综合控制方法和美国其他 99 个最大城市的捐助者库,结果表明,在 2015-19 年期间,费城与撤销起诉相关的凶杀案在统计上显着增加,每年超过 74 起( p<.05)。已经提交了一篇针对关于解除起诉的原始文章的反应文章。在此答复中,我纠正了反应文章中的不准确之处,解释了方法论选择的有效性,讨论了反应对某些定量问题的误解,并揭露了反应的意识形态目的。此外,
更新日期:2023-01-10
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