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Trade scenarios compensating for halted wheat and maize exports from Russia and Ukraine increase carbon emissions without easing food insecurity
Nature Food ( IF 23.6 ) Pub Date : 2022-09-19 , DOI: 10.1038/s43016-022-00600-0 Miguel Carriquiry 1 , Jerome Dumortier 2 , Amani Elobeid 3
中文翻译：
补偿俄罗斯和乌克兰暂停小麦和玉米出口的贸易情景增加了碳排放量，却没有缓解粮食不安全状况
更新日期：2022-09-20
Nature Food ( IF 23.6 ) Pub Date : 2022-09-19 , DOI: 10.1038/s43016-022-00600-0 Miguel Carriquiry 1 , Jerome Dumortier 2 , Amani Elobeid 3
Affiliation
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The Russian invasion of Ukraine has destabilized global agricultural markets, triggering food price increases. We present scenarios of reduced exports and production affecting both countries that increase maize and wheat prices by up to 4.6% and 7.2%, respectively. Production expansion in other regions can partially compensate for export declines but may increase carbon emissions and will exacerbate ongoing global food security challenges.
中文翻译：
补偿俄罗斯和乌克兰暂停小麦和玉米出口的贸易情景增加了碳排放量，却没有缓解粮食不安全状况
俄罗斯入侵乌克兰破坏了全球农产品市场的稳定，引发了食品价格上涨。我们提出了影响这两个国家的出口和产量减少的情景，导致玉米和小麦价格分别上涨 4.6% 和 7.2%。其他地区的生产扩张可以部分弥补出口下降，但可能会增加碳排放量，并加剧当前的全球粮食安全挑战。
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