This research contributes to the literature on consumption displacement by exploring the pandemic-led shifts in hotel booking patterns. We perform a longitudinal analysis and a critical comparison of bookings before and after COVID-19 outbreak, focusing on the booking window, length of stay, and booking channel. Data include weekly bookings of a representative sample of Balearic Islands’ hotels between 2018 and 2021. Results indicate that the pandemic has led to a drop in the volume of bookings and a remarkable change in booking patterns. Specifically, we find a temporal shift in booking behavior, characterized by a lower anticipation and a change in the tourism supply chain, namely a decrease in the share of intermediated bookings. The expected increase in the frequency of exogenous shocks, such as weather-related and sanitary crises, could affect purchasing behaviors, thus enhancing the relevance of this study, with managerial implications for industry and destination managers.

这项研究通过探索大流行导致的酒店预订模式转变，为有关消费置换的文献做出了贡献。我们对 COVID-19 爆发前后的预订进行纵向分析和批判性比较，重点关注预订窗口、入住时长和预订渠道. 数据包括 2018 年至 2021 年巴利阿里群岛代表性酒店样本的每周预订量。结果表明，大流行导致预订量下降，预订模式发生显着变化。具体而言，我们发现预订行为发生了时间性变化，其特征是预期较低和旅游供应链发生变化，即中间预订份额下降。天气相关和卫生危机等外源性冲击频率的预期增加可能会影响购买行为，从而增强本研究的相关性，并对行业和目的地管理者产生管理影响。