Abstract

Governments and private security firms have studied many intelligence aspects of cyberconflict, but the public literature has not described the existence of a strategic cyber warning function or addressed the question of whether strategic warning of significant cyberattacks is possible. This article argues that it is, but technical characteristics of cyberspace and the rapidly evolving nature of cyber-related conflict make cyber warning more difficult than traditional strategic warning. Addressing these complexities requires specialized teams of experts. In the U.S. case, new warning skills and institutions are needed.

中文翻译：

---

网络情报：战略警告是可能的

摘要

政府和私营安全公司已经研究了网络冲突的许多情报方面，但公共文献并未描述战略网络预警功能的存在，也没有解决是否可能对重大网络攻击进行战略预警的问题。本文认为确实如此，但网络空间的技术特征和网络相关冲突的快速演变性质使得网络预警比传统战略预警更加困难。解决这些复杂性需要专门的专家团队。就美国而言，需要新的预警技能和机构。