To model estimated deaths averted by COVID-19 vaccines, we used state-of-the-art mathematical modeling, likelihood-based inference, and reported COVID-19 death and vaccination data. We estimated that >1.5 million deaths were averted in 12 countries. Our model can help assess effectiveness of the vaccination program, which is crucial for curbing the COVID-19 pandemic.

中文翻译：

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评估全球 COVID-19 疫苗接种运动的有效性

为了模拟 COVID-19 疫苗避免的估计死亡人数，我们使用了最先进的数学模型、基于可能性的推理，并报告了 COVID-19 死亡和疫苗接种数据。我们估计 12 个国家避免了超过 150 万人的死亡。我们的模型可以帮助评估疫苗接种计划的有效性，这对于遏制 COVID-19 大流行至关重要。