当前位置: X-MOL 学术Energy Explor. Exploit. › 论文详情
Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)
Exploitable wind power potential in Turkey with technological advancement and resulting environmental-economic aspects
Energy Exploration & Exploitation ( IF 1.9 ) Pub Date : 2022-07-25 , DOI: 10.1177/01445987221115814
Berrin Kursun 1
Affiliation  

This work's focus is determining how the improvements in wind power technology alter current onshore wind power potential and exploitable electrical energy in Turkey. Then, consequent environmental and economic benefits through substitution of imported hard coal, natural gas and local lignite resources in the Turkish electricity mix have been analyzed. Lack of potential, environmental and economic data kept offshore wind calculations out of the scope of this work. Increasing hub height and power coefficient due to better blade designs of wind turbines can increase 114 thousand MW of onshore wind power potential at 50 m up to 418 thousand MW at 300 m. Consequent wind electricity generation can change in the range of 2.3 × 105–1.95 × 106 GWh. Acknowledging several different conditions operating wind turbines can be subject to and that the whole capacity may not be used, mean value of 1.09 × 106 GWh wind electricity generation is assessed as the limit providable to the Turkish electricity grid. Installable wind power capacity (IWPC) and electricity generation potential (EGP) are both most sensitive to the changes in spacing followed by CP and aging. The level of sensitivity increases at higher hub heights for both IWPC and EGP. Environmentally, substitution of lignite and after 2040 hard coal and lignite by wind power is the most feasible option in improving environmental performance of Turkish electricity mix compared to sole substitution of hard coal, natural gas or lignite. In 2040, wind can replace all lignite hence in the years following 2040, wind can substitute lignite and a second fossil resource. Economically, hard coal and natural gas substitution result in 10.85 billion $ and 7.93 billion $ gain from 2021to 2050. Local job creation and carbon tax mechanisms to be employed in favor of wind power can create additional economic and social benefits for the country.



中文翻译:

通过技术进步和由此产生的环境经济方面在土耳其开发的风电潜力

这项工作的重点是确定风电技术的改进如何改变土耳其目前的陆上风电潜力和可利用的电能。然后,分析了通过在土耳其电力结构中替代进口硬煤、天然气和当地褐煤资源所带来的环境和经济效益。由于缺乏潜力、环境和经济数据,海上风电计算超出了这项工作的范围。由于更好的风力涡轮机叶片设计而增加轮毂高度和功率系数可以将 50 m 的陆上风电潜力增加 114,000 兆瓦,直至 300 m 的 418,000 兆瓦。随之而来的风力发电可以在 2.3 × 10 5 –1.95 × 10 6的范围内变化千瓦时。承认运行风力涡轮机可能会遇到几种不同的条件,并且可能不会使用全部容量,平均值为 1.09 × 10 6GWh 风力发电被评估为可提供给土耳其电网的限制。风电可装机容量(IWPC)和发电潜力(EGP)对间距变化最敏感,其次是CP和老化。IWPC 和 EGP 的灵敏度水平在较高的轮毂高度处增加。在环境方面,与单独替代硬煤、天然气或褐煤相比,以风电替代褐煤和 2040 年后硬煤和褐煤是改善土耳其电力组合环境绩效的最可行选择。到 2040 年,风可以替代所有褐煤,因此在 2040 年之后的几年里,风可以替代褐煤和第二种化石资源。经济上,硬煤和天然气替代从 2021 年到 2050 年分别带来 108.5 亿美元和 79.3 亿美元的收益。

更新日期:2022-07-26
down
wechat
bug