Journal of Experimental Criminology ( IF 1.8 ) Pub Date : 2022-07-11 , DOI: 10.1007/s11292-022-09522-0 Joshua Hill 1, 2 , George Raber 1 , Laura Gulledge 1
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Objectives
To provide a partial test of routine activities theory through a spatio-temporal analysis of the impacts of COVID-19 restrictions on burglary in Los Angeles.
Methods
Spatial point pattern tests, clustering, and non-parametric permutations tests were used to identify changes in burglary in the highest restriction period of 2020 as well as comparison periods for the past 10 years while controlling for the zoning within Los Angeles.
Results
COVID-19 restrictions significantly increased crime in commercial/industrial areas while it reduced crime in residential areas.
Conclusions
The predictions of routine activities theory were supported in regard to the importance of capable guardianship. Findings indicate that not only were the areas expected to see an increase in capable guardianship shown to have reduced crime, but that crime more generally across the city became more commercially oriented in terms of zoning as more individuals were confined to residential areas.
中文翻译：
病倒了吗？洛杉矶入室盗窃和 COVID-19 限制
目标
通过对 COVID-19 限制对洛杉矶入室盗窃的影响进行时空分析，对日常活动理论进行部分测试。
方法
使用空间点模式测试、聚类和非参数排列测试来识别 2020 年最高限制期内的入室盗窃事件变化以及过去 10 年的比较期，同时控制洛杉矶境内的分区。
结果
COVID-19 限制措施显着增加了商业/工业区的犯罪率，同时减少了住宅区的犯罪率。
结论
关于有能力监护的重要性，日常活动理论的预测得到了支持。调查结果表明，不仅预计监护能力增加的地区会减少犯罪，而且随着越来越多的人被限制在住宅区，整个城市的犯罪在分区方面变得更加商业化。
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