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Cross-cutting scenarios and strategies for designing decarbonization pathways in the transport sector toward carbon neutrality
Nature Communications ( IF 14.7 ) Pub Date : 2022-06-24 , DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-31354-9
Runsen Zhang 1, 2 , Tatsuya Hanaoka 2
Affiliation  

The transport sector will play a pivotal role in achieving China’s carbon neutrality goal by 2060. This study develops a regional transport-energy integrated model to analyze the long-term pathways and strategies toward the carbon-neutral ground transport sector in China. A set of scenarios are created to identify the effectiveness and feasibility of low-carbon policy measures based on the well-known transport strategies within the Avoid–Shift–Improve framework. Our simulations shed light on synergistic coupling and trade-offs among different strategies and instruments for prescribing a desirable mix of policy measures that maximize the synergies and minimize the trade-offs. Here, we show that a region-specific policy package designed from a balanced perspective under the Avoid–Shift–Improve framework has the potential to realize a deep decarbonization in the transport sector and will greatly assist in achieving China’s carbon neutrality by 2060.

更新日期:2022-06-27
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