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Current global efforts are insufficient to limit warming to 1.5°C
Science ( IF 44.7 ) Pub Date : 2022-06-23 , DOI: 10.1126/science.abo3378
H Damon Matthews 1 , Seth Wynes 1
Affiliation  

Human activities have caused global temperatures to increase by 1.25°C, and the current emissions trajectory suggests that we will exceed 1.5°C in less than 10 years. Though the growth rate of global carbon dioxide emissions has slowed and many countries have strengthened their emissions targets, current midcentury net zero goals are insufficient to limit global warming to 1.5°C above preindustrial temperatures. The primary barriers to the achievement of a 1.5°C-compatible pathway are not geophysical but rather reflect inertia in our political and technological systems. Both political and corporate leadership are needed to overcome this inertia, supported by increased societal recognition of the need for system-level and individual lifestyle changes. The available evidence does not yet indicate that the world has seriously committed to achieving the 1.5°C goal.

中文翻译:

目前的全球努力不足以将升温限制在 1.5°C

人类活动导致全球气温上升了 1.25°C,而目前的排放轨迹表明,我们将在不到 10 年的时间内超过 1.5°C。尽管全球二氧化碳排放量的增长速度已经放缓,许多国家已经加强了排放目标,但当前的世纪中叶净零目标不足以将全球变暖限制在比工业化前温度高 1.5°C。实现 1.5°C 兼容路径的主要障碍不是地球物理,而是反映了我们政治和技术系统的惯性。需要政治和企业领导来克服这种惯性,并得到社会对系统层面和个人生活方式改变需求的日益认可的支持。
更新日期:2022-06-23
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