The Canterbury Earthquake Sequence (CES), which includes the 2010 and 2011 Christchurch earthquakes, is one of the deadliest disasters in New Zealand history. Following the CES, displacement of the affected population occurred, leading to an out-migration from affected areas and changes to places of residence. This paper investigates the spatial changes in population following the CES, using a multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) analysis approach to examine if there is a relationship between population change within the Canterbury region, and potential driving forces across two time periods: 2006–2013 and 2013–2018. The findings of this study could assist in informing future decision making and planning for earthquake events and to increase the effectiveness of land use policy decisions for post-disaster recovery in New Zealand.

中文翻译：

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新西兰坎特伯雷地震序列后人口变化的驱动力：多尺度地理加权回归方法

坎特伯雷地震序列 (CES) 包括 2010 年和 2011 年基督城地震，是新西兰历史上最致命的灾难之一。在 CES 之后，受影响人口发生流离失所，导致从受影响地区迁出并改变居住地。本文调查了 CES 之后人口的空间变化，使用多尺度地理加权回归 (MGWR) 分析方法来检查坎特伯雷地区的人口变化与两个时间段的潜在驱动力之间是否存在关系：2006 年至 2013 年和 2013-2018 年。这项研究的结果可能有助于为地震事件的未来决策和规划提供信息，并提高新西兰灾后恢复土地使用政策决策的有效性。