ABSTRACT

With INR 107.45 billion ($1.54 billion) worth of arms exports and export authorisations in 2018–2019, India realised its biggest annual defence export ambition to date. Breaking into the world’s top 25 defence exporters for the first time, India has set its goal even higher, with a target of INR 300 billion ($5 billion) in defence exports by 2025. Can India achieve the goal and join the ranks of major arms exporting countries? What would it take for India to realise its defence export goal? And what has India done to achieve it? The paper examines India’s recent defence export performance and, in so doing, it probes various reform initiatives taken by the Indian government to promote international arms sales. The article argues that India has a significant domestic arms manufacturing capability, which, if harnessed properly, could propel the country as a significant player in the global arms bazaar.

摘要

凭借 2018-2019 年价值 1074.5 亿印度卢比（15.4 亿美元）的武器出口和出口授权，印度实现了迄今为止最大的年度国防出口雄心。首次闯入世界前25名国防出口国，印度将目标定得更高，到2025年国防出口目标达到3000亿印度卢比（50亿美元）。印度能否实现目标，加入主要武器行列？出口国？印度要实现国防出口目标需要什么？印度为实现这一目标做了什么？该文件考察了印度最近的国防出口表现，并在此过程中探讨了印度政府为促进国际武器销售而采取的各种改革举措。文章认为，印度拥有强大的国内武器制造能力，如果利用得当，