Following a complete cessation of anthropogenic emissions, global warming will continue before cooling. We modelled this zero-emissions scenario in the context of realistic emissions pathways and revealed an existing commitment to temporarily exceeding 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C global warming thresholds half a decade before these targets would have otherwise been reached.

中文翻译：

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停止排放后到 2029 年升温超过 1.5°C 的地球物理承诺

在人为排放完全停止之后，全球变暖将在降温之前继续。我们在现实排放路径的背景下对这种零排放情景进行了建模，并揭示了在达到这些目标之前五年暂时超过 1.5°C 和 2.0°C 全球变暖阈值的现有承诺。