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Wartime Experiences and Popular Support for Peace Agreements: Comparative Evidence from Three Cases
Journal of Conflict Resolution ( IF 2.2 ) Pub Date : 2022-05-25 , DOI: 10.1177/00220027221104728
Karin Dyrstad 1 , Helga M. Binningsbø 2 , Kristin M. Bakke 2, 3
Affiliation  

Peace agreements are negotiated and signed by representatives of the government and the rebels, often after many years of violent conflict, but their ability to transform a war-torn society hinges on the approval of ordinary people. Yet we have little systematic knowledge of what ordinary people think of peace agreements in the long run. This study begins to fill that gap, drawing on a set of comparative public opinion surveys from Guatemala, Nepal, and Northern Ireland, three cases where long civil wars were ended by peace agreements. The peace agreements in these countries have strong popular support, though there is variation across specific provisions. Across these cases, our findings suggest that legacies of violence are not generally associated with long-term support for peace agreements. However, when we look at provisions that grant concessions to the rebels, there is some evidence of lasting legacies.



中文翻译:

战时经验与民众对和平协议的支持:三个案例的比较证据

和平协议由政府和叛军的代表谈判并签署,通常是在多年的暴力冲突之后,但他们改变饱受战争蹂躏的社会的能力取决于普通民众的认可。然而,从长远来看,我们对普通人对和平协议的看法几乎没有系统的知识。这项研究开始填补这一空白,借鉴了危地马拉、尼泊尔和北爱尔兰的一组比较民意调查,三个案例中长期内战通过和平协议结束。这些国家的和平协议得到了广泛的民众支持,尽管具体条款之间存在差异。在这些案例中,我们的研究结果表明,暴力遗留问题通常与对和平协议的长期支持无关。然而,

更新日期:2022-05-25
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