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Reconstruction of regional and national population using intermittent census-type data: The case of Portugal, 1527–1864
Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History ( IF 1.6 ) Pub Date : 2019-09-30 , DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2019.1666762
Nuno Palma 1, 2, 3 , Jaime Reis 2 , Mengtian Zhang 4
Affiliation  

Abstract We offer a new methodology for the construction of annual population stocks over the very long run. Our method does not require the assumption of a closed economy, and can be used in situations in which local annual gross flows are obtainable. Combining gross flows with intermittent census-type data, it is possible to arrive at local, regional and national population stock estimates at annual frequencies. We provide an application to early modern and nineteenth century Portugal, using a large sample of parish-level statistics up to the first modern census of 1864. All six major regions of the country are considered.

中文翻译:

使用间歇性人口普查类型数据重建区域和国家人口:以葡萄牙为例,1527-1864

摘要 我们提供了一种新的方法来构建长期的年度人口存量。我们的方法不需要假设封闭经济,并且可以在可以获得当地年总流量的情况下使用。将总流量与间歇性普查类型数据相结合,就有可能以年度​​频率得出地方、区域和国家人口存量估计值。我们使用 1864 年第一次现代人口普查之前的大量教区统计数据样本,为近代早期和 19 世纪的葡萄牙提供了一个应用程序。该国所有六个主要地区都被考虑在内。
更新日期:2019-09-30
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