At present, aging mines are faced with development bottlenecks such as lack of national policy support, serious problems left over from history, and difficulties in enterprise transformation and development, which seriously restrict the safe production and sustainable development of aging mines. In order to deeply analyze the influencing factors of group unsafe behavior in aging mines, the evolution law of unsafe behavior is qualitatively simulated and quantitatively analyzed to realize the safety evaluation of group unsafe behavior in aging mines. Based on this analysis of the emergence mechanism and influencing factors of unsafe behavior in aging mines, the evaluation index of unsafe behavior in the aging mine population was established. These include six criterion layers and 30 index layers; the mutation level value of the target layer is 0.9405. Group dynamic effect and safety management factors are the two important factors restricting their development and safety. The unsafe behavior of the aging mine groups was evaluated based on game theory and system dynamics—dynamic game simulation on the influence of unsafe behavior in aging coal mines. A qualitative simulation analysis was also performed using the QSIM algorithm. The evolution law of the safety psychology and behavior of aging mine workers are analyzed. This paper shows the importance of the unsafe behavior of aging mines, which helps the safety production and clarifies the safety psychology and the behavior evolution law. This paper puts forward new methods and theories on the safety psychology and behavior evolution law of the safety behavior and provides a reference for the sustainable development of aging mines.

中文翻译：

---

煤岩动力灾害易发矿井人员不安全行为评价与预警模拟

当前，老矿面临国家政策扶持不足、历史遗留问题严重、企业转型发展困难等发展瓶颈，严重制约老矿安全生产和可持续发展。为深入分析老化矿山群体不安全行为的影响因素，对不安全行为的演化规律进行定性模拟和定量分析，实现对老化矿山群体不安全行为的安全评价。在分析老龄矿山不安全行为的产生机理及影响因素的基础上，建立了老龄矿山人口不安全行为的评价指标。其中包括 6 个标准层和 30 个索引层；目标层的突变级别值为0。9405.群体动力效应和安全管理因素是制约其发展和安全的两个重要因素。基于博弈论和系统动力学——动态博弈模拟对老化煤矿不安全行为的影响，对老化矿群的不安全行为进行了评价。还使用 QSIM 算法进行了定性模拟分析。分析了老龄矿工安全心理和行为的演变规律。阐述了老化矿山不安全行为的重要性，有助于安全生产，阐明安全心理和行为演化规律。本文对安全心理和安全行为的行为演化规律提出了新的方法和理论，为老化矿山的可持续发展提供了参考。群体动力效应和安全管理因素是制约其发展和安全的两个重要因素。基于博弈论和系统动力学——动态博弈模拟对老化煤矿不安全行为的影响，对老化矿群的不安全行为进行了评价。还使用 QSIM 算法进行了定性模拟分析。分析了老龄矿工安全心理和行为的演变规律。阐述了老化矿山不安全行为的重要性，有助于安全生产，阐明安全心理和行为演化规律。本文对安全心理和安全行为的行为演化规律提出了新的方法和理论，为老化矿山的可持续发展提供了参考。群体动力效应和安全管理因素是制约其发展和安全的两个重要因素。基于博弈论和系统动力学——动态博弈模拟对老化煤矿不安全行为的影响，对老化矿群的不安全行为进行了评价。还使用 QSIM 算法进行了定性模拟分析。分析了老龄矿工安全心理和行为的演变规律。阐述了老化矿山不安全行为的重要性，有助于安全生产，阐明安全心理和行为演化规律。本文对安全心理和安全行为的行为演化规律提出了新的方法和理论，为老化矿山的可持续发展提供了参考。