Sexual recidivism risk assessment tools focus almost exclusively on risk factors associated with increased rates of recidivism and do not attend to protective factors that might mitigate reoffense risk. The present study investigated the predictive validity of the Structured Assessment of Protective Factors - Sexual Offence version (SAPROF-SO), developed to assess hypothesised protective factors against sexual recidivism in adult males. The SAPROF-SO pilot version contains 24 items across two domains: Personal and Professionally Provided Support. SAPROF-SO scores were rated retrospectively from a review of archived case files of 210 men with convictions for child sexual offenses, using the SAPROF-SO pilot manual and a supplementary retrospective scoring guide developed for the current study. SAPROF-SO Total and Personal domain scores were significantly predictive of sexual recidivism after an average follow-up period of 12.24 years (AUC = .81), and to a lesser extent, violent and general recidivism. SAPROF-SO Total and Personal scores additionally provided significant incremental validity over Static-99R scores in the prediction of sexual recidivism. Results support the predictive validity of protective factors for reduced sexual recidivism and invite future research examining how to integrate the SAPROF-SO alongside contemporary sexual recidivism risk assessment tools.

中文翻译：

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关注正面：保护因素结构化评估的回顾性验证-性犯罪版本

性累犯风险评估工具几乎只关注与累犯率增加相关的风险因素，而不关注可能减轻再犯风险的保护因素。本研究调查了保护因素的结构化评估 - 性犯罪版本 (SAPROF-SO) 的预测有效性，该版本旨在评估针对成年男性性累犯的假设保护因素。SAPROF-SO 试点版本包含两个领域的 24 项：个人支持和专业提供的支持。使用 SAPROF-SO 试点手册和为当前研究开发的补充回顾性评分指南，通过回顾 210 名因儿童性犯罪而被定罪的男性的存档案件档案，对 SAPROF-SO 评分进行回顾性评分。在平均随访 12.24 年 (AUC = .81) 后，SAPROF-SO 总分和个人领域得分显着预测性累犯，在较小程度上预测暴力和一般累犯。SAPROF-SO 总分和个人分在预测性累犯方面比 Static-99R 分还提供了显着的增量效度。结果支持减少性累犯的保护因素的预测有效性，并邀请未来的研究来研究如何将 SAPROF-SO 与当代性累犯风险评估工具相结合。SAPROF-SO 总分和个人分在预测性累犯方面比 Static-99R 分还提供了显着的增量效度。结果支持减少性累犯的保护因素的预测有效性，并邀请未来的研究来研究如何将 SAPROF-SO 与当代性累犯风险评估工具相结合。SAPROF-SO 总分和个人分在预测性累犯方面比 Static-99R 分还提供了显着的增量效度。结果支持减少性累犯的保护因素的预测有效性，并邀请未来的研究来研究如何将 SAPROF-SO 与当代性累犯风险评估工具相结合。