ABSTRACT

During the Malian crisis of 2012, French president Hollande ruled out French boots on the ground and preferred an African intervention. The African Union (AU) was predestined to lead conflict management. Yet in early 2013, Hollande authorized a French operation, thereby outmaneuvering the AU. Using ‘explaining-outcome process-tracing,’ I seek to uncover the underlying causal mechanisms that explain how the AU could be sidelined. Specifically, I scrutinize the preferences and actions of the AU and French actors and the narrations that elucidated these preferences and actions because as I argue, they are crucial to understand the marginalization of the AU.

摘要

在 2012 年马里危机期间，法国总统奥朗德排除了在当地采取法国靴子的可能性，而是更倾向于非洲的干预。非洲联盟（AU）注定要领导冲突管理。然而，在 2013 年初，奥朗德授权在法国开展行动，从而战胜了非盟。使用“解释结果过程跟踪”，我试图揭示解释 AU 如何被边缘化的潜在因果机制。具体来说，我仔细研究了非盟和法国演员的偏好和行动，以及阐明这些偏好和行动的叙述，因为正如我所说，它们对于理解非盟的边缘化至关重要。