This study analyzes at a local level (i.e. census tract) the spatial patterns and main contextual factors related to the electoral resurgence of the extreme-right party (VOX) in Southern Spain (Andalusia) in 2018 and 2019. The 2019 electoral data was associated with the percentage of total foreign-born population, degree of territorial concentration of economic migrants, average income level, percentage of elderly people, urban/rural areas and the percentage of vote for VOX in 2018 (t − 1). We used a global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis to detect the spatial patterns of the vote for VOX and a spatial Durbin regression model to assess the role of contextual variables and spatial effects. The results underline the importance of space in modelling the vote for VOX and point to the existence of a spatial diffusion process. Previous electoral behavior and the urban milieu also play key roles in explaining the vote for VOX. Moreover, the territorial concentration of economic migrants is negatively related with the vote for VOX, which illustrates the positive character of interracial contact.

本研究在地方层面（即人口普查区）分析了 2018 年和 2019 年西班牙南部（安达卢西亚）极右政党（VOX）选举复苏相关的空间格局和主要背景因素。2019 年选举数据与2018年外国出生人口占总人口比例、经济移民地域集中程度、平均收入水平、老年人口比例、城乡地区和VOX投票率（t−1）。我们使用全局和局部空间自相关分析来检测 VOX 投票的空间模式，并使用空间杜宾回归模型来评估上下文变量和空间效应的作用。结果强调了空间在 VOX 投票建模中的重要性，并指出了空间扩散过程的存在。之前的选举行为和城市环境在解释 VOX 的投票时也发挥着关键作用。此外，经济移民的地域集中度与VOX的投票呈负相关，这说明了跨种族接触的积极特征。