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Predicting recidivism: psychosocial collateral consequences among registered offenders
Journal of Sexual Aggression ( IF 1.217 ) Pub Date : 2022-03-09 , DOI: 10.1080/13552600.2022.2038712
Emma Hamilton 1 , Jaymes Fairfax-Columbo 1
Affiliation  

ABSTRACT

The relationship between collateral consequences and recidivism among individuals who sexually offend continues to be proffered in the literature, yet empirical evidence of these links has yet to be established. This exploratory study investigated the correlational and predictive relationships between social and psychological collateral consequences and overall recidivism, sexual recidivism specifically, and probation/parole/registry violations among a sample of 180 registrants. Results revealed significant relationships between demographic indicators (age, years registered, education), social and psychological collateral consequences, overall recidivism, and sexual recidivism and violations. Results of the hierarchical logistic regressions indicated that neither social nor psychological collateral consequences significantly improved model fit for overall recidivism or sexual recidivism. Social collateral consequences, however, predicted an individual’s likelihood to accrue probation, parole, or registry violations post-offence. Practical implications are discussed within the context of building an empirical basis for the potential contributory effects of the registry on recidivism, via collateral consequences.



中文翻译:

预测累犯:已登记罪犯的社会心理附带后果

摘要

文献中继续提供性犯罪者的附带后果与累犯之间的关系,但尚未确定这些联系的经验证据。这项探索性研究调查了 180 名注册人样本中的社会和心理附带后果与总体累犯、特别是性累犯以及缓刑/假释/登记违规之间的相关性和预测性关系。结果揭示了人口指标(年龄、登记年限、教育程度)、社会和心理附带后果、总体累犯以及性累犯和性侵犯之间的显着关系。层次逻辑回归的结果表明,社会和心理附带后果均未显着改善模型对整体累犯或性累犯的拟合度。然而,社会附带后果预测了个人在犯罪后累积缓刑、假释或登记违规的可能性。通过附带后果,在为登记对累犯的潜在贡献影响建立经验基础的背景下讨论了实际影响。

更新日期:2022-03-09
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