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Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice
Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application ( IF 7.4 ) Pub Date : 2022-03-07 , DOI: 10.1146/annurev-statistics-040220-090158
Galin L. Jones 1 , Qian Qin 1
Affiliation  

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is an essential set of tools for estimating features of probability distributions commonly encountered in modern applications. For MCMC simulation to produce reliable outcomes, it needs to generate observations representative of the target distribution, and it must be long enough so that the errors of Monte Carlo estimates are small. We review methods for assessing the reliability of the simulation effort, with an emphasis on those most useful in practically relevant settings. Both strengths and weaknesses of these methods are discussed. The methods are illustrated in several examples and in a detailed case study.

中文翻译:


马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗实践

马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛 (MCMC) 是一套必不可少的工具,用于估计现代应用中常见的概率分布特征。为了使 MCMC 模拟产生可靠的结果,它需要生成代表目标分布的观测值,并且它必须足够长,以使 Monte Carlo 估计的误差很小。我们回顾了评估模拟工作可靠性的方法,重点是那些在实际相关环境中最有用的方法。讨论了这些方法的优点和缺点。这些方法在几个示例和详细的案例研究中进行了说明。

更新日期:2022-03-07
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