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Recent Challenges in Actuarial Science
Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application ( IF 7.4 ) Pub Date : 2022-03-07 , DOI: 10.1146/annurev-statistics-040120-030244
Paul Embrechts 1 , Mario V. Wüthrich 1
Affiliation  

For centuries, mathematicians and, later, statisticians, have found natural research and employment opportunities in the realm of insurance. By definition, insurance offers financial cover against unforeseen events that involve an important component of randomness, and consequently, probability theory and mathematical statistics enter insurance modeling in a fundamental way. In recent years, a data deluge, coupled with ever-advancing information technology and the birth of data science, has revolutionized or is about to revolutionize most areas of actuarial science as well as insurance practice. We discuss parts of this evolution and, in the case of non-life insurance, show how a combination of classical tools from statistics, such as generalized linear models and, e.g., neural networks contribute to better understanding and analysis of actuarial data. We further review areas of actuarial science where the cross fertilization between stochastics and insurance holds promise for both sides. Of course, the vastness of the field of insurance limits our choice of topics; we mainly focus on topics closer to our main areas of research.

中文翻译:


精算学的最新挑战

几个世纪以来,数学家和后来的统计学家在保险领域发现了自然的研究和就业机会。根据定义,保险为涉及随机性重要组成部分的不可预见事件提供财务保障,因此,概率论和数理统计以基本方式进入保险建模。近年来,数据泛滥,再加上不断进步的信息技术和数据科学的诞生,已经或即将彻底改变精算科学和保险实践的大多数领域。我们讨论了这种演变的部分内容,并在非人寿保险的情况下,展示了如何结合来自统计学的经典工具,例如广义线性模型,例如,神经网络有助于更好地理解和分析精算数据。我们进一步回顾了精算科学领域,其中随机指标和保险之间的交叉融合对双方都有希望。当然,保险领域的广阔限制了我们的选题;我们主要关注更接近我们主要研究领域的主题。

更新日期:2022-03-07
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