In recent years, a record number of people have been forcibly displaced or migrated due to conflict. Whilst established political science research suggests that displaced communities are an added risk factor for conflict due to their support for extreme co-ethnic political parties and movements, this has been challenged by recent research which shows that migrants can be a moderating force. We offer a potential reconciliation of these divergent findings by distinguishing between first- and second-generation migrants. Due to their relative lack of conflict exposure, second-generation migrants will have significantly less support for co-ethnic political parties than first-generation migrants and those who remain. We test our argument using granular survey data comparing Kurds who migrated out of the conflict zone in Turkey with those who remained. The results support our theoretical framework and have important implications for our understanding of migrant attitudes and the long-term effects of conflict exposure.

近年来，因冲突而被迫流离失所或迁移的人数创历史新高。虽然已建立的政治科学研究表明，流离失所的社区由于支持极端的同族政党和运动而成为冲突的额外风险因素，但最近的研究表明移民可以成为一种缓和力量，这一点受到了挑战。通过区分第一代和第二代移民，我们提供了对这些不同发现的潜在调和。由于他们相对较少接触冲突，第二代移民对同族政党的支持将大大低于第一代移民和留下来的移民。我们使用细粒度的调查数据来检验我们的论点，将迁移出土耳其冲突地区的库尔德人和留下来的库尔德人进行比较。