ABSTRACT

The objective of this study is to identify the probable location, time of occurrence, and magnitude of a predictive earthquake in a highly active seismotectonic zone. Within an identified spatiotemporal regime, seismic risk to property, and life has also been assessed due to the damage scenario of the predictive earthquake. A large area in western Himalaya was subjected to three parallel studies: identification of seismogenic source zones, segments of longer tectonics, and susceptible area using seismic hazard assessment and pattern recognition. Out of the nine identified seismogenic source zones (SSZ) in the study area, Kangra SSZ was found to be the worst SSZ.

摘要

本研究的目的是确定高度活跃的地震构造带中预测性地震的可能位置、发生时间和震级。在确定的时空体系内，由于预测地震的破坏情景，还评估了地震对财产和生命的风险。对喜马拉雅西部的一大片区域进行了三项平行研究：使用地震危险性评估和模式识别识别发震源区、较长构造段和易感区。在研究区的九个确定的发震源区 (SSZ) 中，Kangra SSZ 被发现是最严重的 SSZ。