Over the past half century there has been a rapid expansion of the forestry sector in Chile. One hypothesis is that this growth was stimulated in major part by government-supported financial incentives to forestry plantations dating from the mid-1970s. Evaluating the effects of subsidies on plantations is of current policy interest due to the potential importance of forests as carbon sinks. This study evaluates the impact of subsidies on the establishment of forest plantations (under the specific law DL701) for the period between the years 1998 and 2013 using matching techniques in combination with Difference-in-Differences. Results show that government subsidies have had a statistically and economically significant positive impact on plantations, increasing the forested area of subsidy program participants by approximately 13% compared with the counterfactual scenario without such subsidies.

在过去的半个世纪里，智利的林业部门迅速扩张。一种假设是，这种增长在很大程度上是由政府支持的从 1970 年代中期开始对人工林的财政激励措施所刺激的。由于森林作为碳汇的潜在重要性，评估补贴对种植园的影响是当前的政策利益。本研究使用匹配技术与差异中的差异相结合，评估了 1998 年至 2013 年期间补贴对人工林建设（根据具体法律 DL701）的影响。结果表明，政府补贴对种植园产生了统计上和经济上显着的积极影响，