Among artists who have made their debut, a minority will become credited a second time in their career. This article investigates why some fiction authors continue publishing books while others do not. The study tracks all 1479 novelists, who published their first book between 2001 and 2010 in Sweden, including their literary activities and the literary reception of the book and data on any second book published within eight years after the first book. Regression results indicate that being published by a core publishing house or an established publishing house in the semi-core is associated with odds of continuation. Several predictors, about the author, literary activities, and literary reception are tested for career continuation. Some literary activities and notable literary receptions increase the odds of continuation. Market-based performance triumphs aesthetic-based performances in predicting career continuation. For authors being published by a core publishing house, literary activities and reception are important for continuation. These findings are discussed in relation to the opportunity structure associated with the institutional space of publishing houses and suggest a revision of Pierre-Michel Menger’s thesis of successes in tournament careers as predicting career continuation.

在出道的艺人中，少数人将在他们的职业生涯中第二次获得荣誉。本文调查了为什么一些小说作者继续出版书籍而另一些则没有。该研究追踪了所有 1479 名小说家，他们在 2001 年至 2010 年间在瑞典出版了他们的第一本书，包括他们的文学活动和该书的文学接受度，以及在第一本书之后八年内出版的任何第二本书的数据。回归结果表明，由核心出版社或半核心老牌出版社出版与续刊几率相关。几个关于作者、文学活动和文学接受度的预测因子都经过测试以判断职业生涯的延续性。一些文学活动和著名的文学招待会增加了延续的几率。在预测职业延续方面，基于市场的表现胜过基于审美的表现。对于由核心出版社出版的作者来说，文学活动和接待对于延续很重要。这些发现与与出版社机构空间相关的机会结构进行了讨论，并建议对 Pierre-Michel Menger 的关于锦标赛职业成功的论文进行修订，以预测职业生涯的延续。