Mine closure, social disruption, and crime in South Africa,The Geographical Journal

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Mine closure, social disruption, and crime in South Africa
The Geographical Journal ( IF 3.6 ) Pub Date : 2022-01-21 , DOI: 10.1111/geoj.12430
Lochner Marais _{1,

2} , Emeka Ndaguba ₁ , Elelwani Mmbadi ₁ , Jan Cloete ₁ , Molefi Lenka ₁

Affiliation

The international literature links mining booms with social disruption. The rapid economic and population growth that mining brings increases urban crime and social problems. But insufficient attention has been paid to the reverse situation: the social disruption that can accompany the closure of a mine. We compare crime statistics for four categories of small city, known in South Africa as “intermediate city municipalities,” from 2009 to 2018. Contrary to the findings of international studies, we find that those where mining was in decline had some of the highest crime rates, particularly in the category of sexual offences, whereas those where mining was growing had the lowest. Our research shows that mine decline and closure can contribute to social disruption. We argue that South African government policy has exacerbated this problem in the context of mine decline and that several dependencies created by mining further contribute to the problem. We challenge the assumption that fast population growth and an increase in the male population are prerequisites for social disruption. Our paper suggests the need for modifications to social disruption theory.

中文翻译：

南非的矿山关闭、社会混乱和犯罪

国际文献将矿业繁荣与社会动荡联系起来。采矿带来的快速经济和人口增长增加了城市犯罪和社会问题。但对相反的情况却没有给予足够的重视：矿山关闭可能带来的社会混乱。我们比较了 2009 年至 2018 年在南非被称为“中级城市”的四类小城市的犯罪统计数据。与国际研究的结果相反，我们发现采矿业下降的那些城市的犯罪率最高率，特别是在性犯罪类别中，而采矿业增长的犯罪率最低。我们的研究表明，矿山衰退和关闭会导致社会混乱。我们认为，南非政府的政策在矿业衰退的背景下加剧了这一问题，而矿业产生的若干依赖性进一步加剧了这一问题。我们挑战了人口快速增长和男性人口增加是社会混乱的先决条件的假设。我们的论文表明需要修改社会破坏理论。

更新日期：2022-01-21

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