The demand for an ideologically based party system is not always met with a supply. As a country where a large majority of adults identify on the ideological scale but whose weak political parties primarily function as short-lived personalist platforms, Guatemala represents an extreme case of a demand supply mismatch. Using six AmericasBarometer surveys from 2008 to 2018, we analyze the supply-side (partisanship) and demand-side (ideological identification) effect on voter turnout to identify whether the manifestation of this market failure applies evenly to voters across the ideological scale. We report a nuanced outcome: partisanship and identification on the right of the ideological scale increase turnout, but identification on the center or the left display no significant effect. The absence of parties that effectively represents left-wing or centrist voters—or that at least induce them to turn out to vote—points to a supply-side problem in Guatemala's political representation market.

对基于意识形态的政党制度的需求并不总是能得到满足。作为一个大多数成年人在意识形态范围内认同但其弱势政党主要充当短命的个人主义平台的国家，危地马拉代表了供需不匹配的极端案例。使用 2008 年至 2018 年的六项 AmericasBarometer 调查，我们分析了供应方（党派偏见）和需求方（意识形态认同）对选民投票率的影响，以确定这种市场失灵的表现是否均匀地适用于整个意识形态范围内的选民。我们报告了一个微妙的结果：意识形态规模右侧的党派偏见和认同增加了投票率，但中间或左侧的认同没有显着影响。