Agroforestry systems (AFS) are proved to enhance sustainable land management. Thus, there is increasing demand for effective ways to scale up AFS so that more people can benefit. Consequently, this study assesses the scaling-up potential of agroforestry systems (AFS) using cacao farming and cattle ranching in Caquetá and Cesar, Colombia, as examples. An ex-ante assessment using the ScalA tool is conducted through interviews with AFS experts from institutions promoting AFS. Using a comparative approach, results reveal that AFS have different scaling-up potential depending on the type of farming system and location characteristics. In our case, it is slightly higher for cacao farming than for cattle ranching in both regions and it is higher in Caquetá than in Cesar for both systems. Factors hindering the scaling-up potential for both regions are economic conditions at the local and regional levels since there is a lack of stable and differentiated markets to absorb AFS products. In contrast, the scaling-up potential in both regions is increased by the factors related to the capacity of the organizations that promote AFS and the attitudes of local communities toward them. The study generates information about factors that may hinder or foster AFS scaling-up, including not just the capacities and mechanisms to promote them but also the enabling conditions. This contributes to prioritizing AFS interventions and better allocating their resources to increase their chances of successful scaling-up.

事实证明，农林业系统（AFS）可以加强可持续的土地管理。因此，人们越来越需要有效的方法来扩大 AFS 的规模，以便更多的人受益。因此，本研究以哥伦比亚卡克塔和塞萨尔的可可种植和养牛场为例，评估了农林业系统 (AFS) 的扩大潜力。使用 ScalA 工具通过采访 AFS 推广机构的 AFS 专家进行事前评估。通过比较方法，结果表明，根据农业系统的类型和地点特征，AFS 具有不同的扩大潜力。在我们的案例中，这两个地区的可可种植略高于养牛场，并且卡克塔的这两个系统都高于塞萨尔。阻碍这两个地区扩大规模的因素是地方和区域层面的经济状况，因为缺乏稳定和差异化的市场来吸收 AFS 产品。相比之下，这两个地区的扩大潜力因与促进 AFS 的组织的能力以及当地社区对其的态度相关的因素而增加。该研究提供了有关可能阻碍或促进 AFS 扩大规模的因素的信息，不仅包括促进这些因素的能力和机制，还包括有利条件。这有助于确定 AFS 干预措施的优先顺序，并更好地分配资源，以增加成功扩大规模的机会。