Abstract

Research shows that intelligence analysts do not routinely follow a logical workflow, do not always use critical thinking, and that analysts’ training and experience are unrelated to analysts’ performance. The Analysis Support Guide (ASG) aims to capture, communicate, and encourage good analytic practice. The ASG is informed by organizational intelligence doctrine and past research on intelligence analysis. The ASG includes the generic analytic workflow, prompts for good practice at each stage of the workflow, indicators of good and poor analytic practice, and an analytic investigation questionnaire. The findings of a small-scale content validation study of the ASG are reported here. Fourteen analysts provided detailed feedback on its content. The results informed a revision of the ASG that is currently used to train new and experienced analysts. The ASG can also inform the development of analytic technologies and future research on the psychology of intelligence analysis.

摘要

研究表明，情报分析师通常不会遵循逻辑工作流程，并不总是使用批判性思维，而且分析师的培训和经验与分析师的绩效无关。分析支持指南 (ASG) 旨在捕捉、交流和鼓励良好的分析实践。ASG 以组织情报条令和过去的情报分析研究为依据。ASG 包括通用分析工作流程、工作流程每个阶段的良好实践提示、良好和不良分析实践的指标以及分析调查问卷。此处报告了 ASG 的小规模内容验证研究的结果。十四位分析师对其内容提供了详细的反馈。结果通知了目前用于培训新的和有经验的分析师的 ASG 的修订。