Abstract

This article examines the effects of counterterrorism policy in Canada, the United States, and the United Kingdom between 1997 and 2016. We use time series analysis and series hazard models to examine the influence of policy on (a) incidents of terrorist violence and (b) citizen perceptions of the threat of terrorism. Results indicate that counterterrorism policy is, for the most part, not related to significant changes in Canada but does report significant results for public opinion and terrorist incidents in the United States and the United Kingdom, although these effects are temporally defined.

中文翻译：

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公共政策建模：对恐怖主义和舆论的影响

摘要

本文考察了 1997 年至 2016 年间加拿大、美国和英国反恐政策的影响。我们使用时间序列分析和序列危害模型来检验政策对 (a) 恐怖主义暴力事件和 (b) 的影响) 公民对恐怖主义威胁的看法。结果表明，反恐政策在很大程度上与加拿大的重大变化无关，但确实报告了美国和英国的公众舆论和恐怖事件的重大结果，尽管这些影响是暂时定义的。