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Tropical Storms and Temporary Migration in Vietnam
Population and Development Review ( IF 4.6 ) Pub Date : 2021-11-19 , DOI: 10.1111/padr.12455
Michael Berlemann , Thi Xuyen Tran

In this paper, we provide the first household-level empirical multievent study of temporary internal migration as a consequence of tropical storms. In order to do, so we combine three waves of the Vietnam Household Living Standard Survey with geo-referenced tropical cyclone data from the Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship. Based on the resulting panel dataset, we study temporary emigration patterns evolving in the aftermath of occurring storms in the sample communes. We find robust empirical evidence in favor of a significant push effect on temporary migration. Occurring storms increase the likelihood that a household sends members to other regions in Vietnam. Storms also tend to increase the number of absent household members and absence time. Moreover, we show that occurring storms increase both seasonal and long-term absences.

中文翻译:

越南的热带风暴和临时迁移

在本文中,我们提供了第一个关于热带风暴造成的临时内部迁移的家庭级实证多事件研究。为了做到这一点,我们将越南家庭生活水平调查的三波与气候管理最佳跟踪档案中的地理参考热带气旋数据结合起来。基于由此产生的面板数据集,我们研究了样本公社中风暴发生后演变的临时移民模式。我们发现有力的经验证据支持对临时迁移的显着推动作用。暴风雨的发生增加了家庭将成员派往越南其他地区的可能性。风暴也往往会增加缺席家庭成员的数量和缺席时间。此外,我们表明,发生的风暴会增加季节性和长期缺勤。
更新日期:2021-11-19
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