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Reference crop evapotranspiration for data-sparse regions using reanalysis products
Agricultural Water Management ( IF 5.9 ) Pub Date : 2021-11-18 , DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2021.107319
Milad Nouri 1 , Mehdi Homaee 2
Affiliation  

Reasonable estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) requires some climatic inputs which might be missing in areas with sparse data recording. This study aimed to assess performance of FAO56 Penman-Monteith (PM-ETo) fed by ERA5, MERRA2 and GLDAS2 outputs in estimating daily and monthly ETo under data limitation. The accuracy of PM-ETo calculated by interpolated factors and the temperature-based PM-ETo (PMT) was also studied. Additionally, performance of PM-ETo fed by the bias-corrected reanalysis products against the PMT with updated constant, i.e. recalibrated PMT, was investigated. Climatic data required to run PM-ETo were collected from 146 stations over Iran for 25 years. Results revealed that ERA5 provides more realistic daily and monthly ETo estimates relative to MERRA2 and GLDAS2 in 84% of cases. Furthermore, ERA5 surpassed the others in producing daily and monthly wind speed, vapor pressure deficit and mean temperature for the majority of locations. The average relative Mean Bias Error (rMBE) of − 7.3% and 8.1% at monthly scale and of − 11.1% and 9.8% at daily scale were found for MERRA2- and GLDAS2-estimated ETo, respectively, indicating ETo overestimation and underestimation by MERRA2 and GLDAS2, respectively. The ERA5 provided more satisfactory results, with normalized Root Mean Square Error of 15.2% and 22.7% for daily and monthly steps, respectively, relative to PMT for approximately 70% of sites. Moreover, ETo estimated by ERA5 had a smaller nRMSE than that simulated using the interpolated variables in around 60% of the sites. Therefore, under temperature data availability or existence of nearby sites, application of ERA5 is better suited to estimate ETo in our study area. The PM-ETo fed by bias-corrected ERA5 outputs also outperformed recalibrated PMT, illustrating that bias-correction seems to be a more accurate modification when complete datasets are available at least for a limited time. Overall, ERA5 products are robust surrogates for simulating ETo under data limitation on different temporal resolutions which is needed for decision making and planning processes.



中文翻译:

使用再分析产品的数据稀疏地区参考作物蒸发量

参考蒸散量 (ET o ) 的合理估计需要一些气候输入,这些输入在数据记录稀少的地区可能会丢失。本研究旨在评估由 ERA5、MERRA2 和 GLDAS2 输出提供的 FAO56 Penman-Monteith (PM-ET o )在数据限制下估算每日和每月 ET o 的性能。还研究了通过内插因子计算的 PM-ET o和基于温度的 PM-ET o (PMT)的准确性。此外,PM-ET的性能Ó由偏置校正的再分析产品针对与更新常数PMT馈送,即重新校准PMT,进行了调查。气候数据需要运行PM-ET Ø25 年来从伊朗上空的 146 个站点收集。结果显示,在 84% 的案例中,ERA5 提供了比 MERRA2 和 GLDAS2更现实的每日和每月 ET o估计值。此外,ERA5 在大多数地区产生的每日和每月风速、蒸汽压差和平均温度方面都超过了其他地区。MERRA2 和 GLDAS2 估计的 ET o的平均相对平均偏差误差 (rMBE) 分别为每月规模的 − 7.3% 和 8.1% 以及每日规模的 − 11.1% 和 9.8% ,表明 ET oMERRA2 和 GLDAS2 分别高估和低估。ERA5 提供了更令人满意的结果,相对于大约 70% 的站点的 PMT,每日和每月步骤的归一化均方根误差分别为 15.2% 和 22.7%。此外,ERA5 估计的ET o的 nRMSE 小于使用内插变量在大约 60% 的站点中模拟的 nRMSE。因此,在温度数据可用或附近站点存在的情况下,ERA5 的应用更适合于估计我们研究区的ET o。PM-ET o由偏差校正的 ERA5 输出馈送的结果也优于重新校准的 PMT,说明当完整的数据集至少在有限的时间内可用时,偏差校正似乎是一种更准确的修改。总体而言,ERA5 产品是在数据限制下模拟 ET o 的强大替代品,不同时间分辨率是决策和规划过程所需的。

更新日期:2021-11-18
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