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Improvement of outcome prediction of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 by a dual marker strategy using high-sensitive cardiac troponin I and copeptin
Clinical Research in Cardiology ( IF 3.8 ) Pub Date : 2021-11-15 , DOI: 10.1007/s00392-021-01970-4
Christoph C. Kaufmann 1 , Amro Ahmed 1 , Mona Kassem 1 , Matthias K. Freynhofer 1 , Bernhard Jäger 1 , Kurt Huber 1, 2, 3 , Gabriele Aicher 4 , Susanne Equiluz-Bruck 5 , Alexander O. Spiel 6 , Florian Vafai-Tabrizi 7 , Michael Gschwantler 2, 8 , Peter Fasching 9 , Johann Wojta 3, 10, 11 , Evangelos Giannitsis 12
Affiliation  

Background

COVID-19 has been associated with a high prevalence of myocardial injury and increased cardiovascular morbidity. Copeptin, a marker of vasopressin release, has been previously established as a risk marker in both infectious and cardiovascular disease.

Methods

This prospective, observational study of patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infection was conducted from June 6th to November 26th, 2020 in a tertiary care hospital. Copeptin and high-sensitive cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) levels on admission were collected and tested for their association with the primary composite endpoint of ICU admission or 28-day mortality.

Results

A total of 213 eligible patients with COVID-19 were included of whom 55 (25.8%) reached the primary endpoint. Median levels of copeptin and hs-cTnI at admission were significantly higher in patients with an adverse outcome (Copeptin 29.6 pmol/L, [IQR, 16.2–77.8] vs 17.2 pmol/L [IQR, 7.4–41.0] and hs-cTnI 22.8 ng/L [IQR, 11.5–97.5] vs 10.2 ng/L [5.5–23.1], P < 0.001 respectively). ROC analysis demonstrated an optimal cut-off of 19.3 pmol/L for copeptin and 16.8 ng/L for hs-cTnI and an increase of either biomarker was significantly associated with the primary endpoint. The combination of raised hs-cTnI and copeptin yielded a superior prognostic value to individual measurement of biomarkers and was a strong prognostic marker upon multivariable logistic regression analysis (OR 4.274 [95% CI, 1.995–9.154], P < 0.001). Addition of copeptin and hs-cTnI to established risk models improved C-statistics and net reclassification indices.

Conclusion

The combination of raised copeptin and hs-cTnI upon admission is an independent predictor of ICU admission or 28-day mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Graphical abstract



中文翻译:

通过使用高敏心肌肌钙蛋白 I 和和肽素的双标记策略改善 COVID-19 住院患者的预后预测

背景

COVID-19 与心肌损伤的高发病率和心血管发病率增加有关。和肽素是一种血管加压素释放的标志物,之前已被确定为传染病和心血管疾病的风险标志物。

方法

这项针对实验室确诊的 COVID-19 感染患者的前瞻性观察性研究于 2020 年 6 月 6 日至 11 月 26 日在一家三级医院进行。收集入院时的和肽素和高敏心肌肌钙蛋白 I (hs-cTnI) 水平,并测试它们与 ICU 入院或 28 天死亡率等主要复合终点的关联。

结果

共纳入了 213 名符合条件的 COVID-19 患者,其中 55 名(25.8%)达到了主要终点。有不良结局的患者入院时和肽素和 hs-cTnI 的中位数水平显着更高(和肽素 29.6 pmol/L,[IQR, 16.2–77.8] vs 17.2 pmol/L [IQR, 7.4–41.0] 和 hs-cTnI 22.8 ng/L [IQR,11.5–97.5] 与 10.2 ng/L [5.5–23.1], 分别为P < 0.001)。ROC 分析表明和肽素的最佳截止值为 19.3 pmol/L,hs-cTnI 为 16.8 ng/L,任一生物标志物的增加与主要终点显着相关。升高的 hs-cTnI 和和肽素的组合产生了优于个体生物标志物测量的预后价值,并且在多变量逻辑回归分析中是一个强有力的预后标志物(OR 4.274 [95% CI, 1.995–9.154],P  < 0.001)。将和肽素和 hs-cTnI 添加到已建立的风险模型中改善了 C 统计量和净重分类指数。

结论

入院时升高的和肽素和 hs-cTnI 的组合是 COVID-19 住院患者入住 ICU 或 28 天死亡率的独立预测因素。

图形概要

更新日期:2021-11-17
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